NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	6.4 [530]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): +15.5%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.0 [484]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -19.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	5	94%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Trevor Ariza	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	6	63%	0.10	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	21	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.10	-0.01	10	76%	0.16	3	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	68%	0.14	5	-0.18	8	100%	0.03
Jason Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.12	0.02	13	64%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	11	59%	0.12	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	74%	0.13	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darnell Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	38%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.11,-0.19	-0.19	-0.00	-0.17	0.02	22	52%	-0.06	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	29.5	15.7	26.5	2.0	38.3	138.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +24.4%

NOH -31.7%

SAC +30.2%

SAC +23.4%

SAC +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAC	NBA	NOH	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.5	104.3	110.9	105.7
season	16.2	14.9		104.6	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.9		107.7	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.5	16.1	16.2	16.5	16.3
SAC	14.2	13.2	17.3	15.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-6	6	17.1	16.0	1.12	14.6	15.1	-0.59
Quincy Pondexter	6	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-3	0	16.0	16.3	-0.34	11.7	15.3	-3.54
Jason Smith	31	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-2	-2	15.8	16.6	-0.77	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Marcus Thornton	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-6	6	16.1	16.4	-0.30	14.9	15.1	-0.17
DJ Mbenga	6	6	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	4	-14	24.8	15.7	9.11	10.8	15.3	-4.45
Jarrett Jack	27	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	2	-10	17.3	15.9	1.34	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Marco Belinelli	43	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	1	-8	17.1	15.6	1.46	15.6	14.5	1.12
David West	73	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.30	1	-7	8	15.8	18.4	-2.65	15.2	14.3	0.88
Trevor Ariza	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-7	8	15.8	18.0	-2.21	15.1	14.5	0.60
Emeka Okafor	74	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-7	8	16.4	16.1	0.32	15.3	13.6	1.72
Chris Paul	71	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-5	4	15.8	18.0	-2.12	15.0	14.8	0.25

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	68	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-1	8	15.1	14.7	0.32	16.0	17.1	-1.06
Beno Udrih	77	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-2	10	14.9	15.2	-0.25	16.6	15.1	1.52
Samuel Dalembert	53	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	3	0	14.6	15.5	-0.82	16.5	16.0	0.54
Omri Casspi	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	6	-6	15.3	13.6	1.72	15.7	19.4	-3.70
Tyreke Evans	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	1	4	15.7	14.0	1.72	16.8	15.7	1.12
Pooh Jeter	27	27	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	3	0	13.4	15.7	-2.29	16.7	16.2	0.50
Donte Greene	23	23	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	3	0	13.2	15.6	-2.36	16.9	16.1	0.80
Jason Thompson	19	18	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	2	2	14.8	15.0	-0.19	17.1	16.1	0.92
Luther Head	21	20	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	7	-8	16.2	14.6	1.56	15.3	16.6	-1.23
Carl Landry	42	43	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	6	-6	15.5	14.6	0.85	17.1	15.7	1.42
Darnell Jackson	2	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	8	-10	13.0	15.0	-2.03	3.7	16.7	-13.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.91,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.95,1	94.1%
MEM 82, SAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.86,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.73,1	93.6%
WAS 95, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.98,1,0.98,1	93.3%