inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 95 Excitement6.0 [634] MVPGordan Giricek (UTA): +13.3%
Utah Jazz 100 Comeback2.2 [678] LVPThabo Sefolosha (CHI): -7.6%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.080.12-0.010.031563%0.152-0.081182%0.00
Chris Duhon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,0.03,0.02-0.010.02-0.01964%0.094-0.07450%-0.02
Michael Sweetney0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Ben Gordon-0.000,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0-0.080.01-0.071241%-0.003-0.003100%0.02
Luol Deng-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.020.04-0.030.021453%0.072-0.081573%-0.01
Malik Allen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.0240%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Viktor Khryapa-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01383%0.096-0.146100%0.04
Ben Wallace-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.030.04450%-0.041-0.03667%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.040.0010%-0.031-0.0400%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.080.00867%0.171-0.042100%0.04
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,0.05,0.070.070.020.05-0.001751%0.112-0.04560%-0.02
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.02-0.00872%0.112-0.04250%-0.01
Deron Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.040.06-0.031455%0.165-0.10520%-0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.03-0.00440%0.0400.0020%-0.04
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.01370%0.0300.00475%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.030.031358%0.093-0.077100%0.03
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04536%0.013-0.06475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.21.731.015.025.71.841.2143.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +46.6%
CHI -1.7%
CHI -5.7%
UTA +10.4%
UTA +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIUTANBACHIUTANBA
this game13.817.115.4103.3106.4104.5
season14.515.9103.1107.4
opponent15.015.9104.998.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.014.514.313.613.8
UTA16.917.618.515.817.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Viktor Khryapa1414-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-6716.713.33.4216.417.2-0.89
Ben Wallace7982-0.06-0.440.38-0.4112-172913.217.4-4.1617.414.92.52
Thabo Sefolosha89-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-4319.413.36.0915.417.3-1.85
Michael Sweetney44-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-1-317.213.73.5913.517.3-3.78
Adrian Griffin1615-0.21-0.290.070.02-83-1114.913.61.3617.517.10.42
Ben Gordon5154-0.22-0.280.07-0.272-7912.315.8-3.5016.917.3-0.41
Malik Allen1112-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-127-1913.513.9-0.4115.117.4-2.33
Chris Duhon5354-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.12-50-513.813.80.0416.318.2-1.84
P.J. Brown5858-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.28-2-3114.512.61.8517.716.21.45
Kirk Hinrich8181-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.39-3-2-113.615.6-2.0717.514.82.64
Luol Deng8587-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.34-50-513.714.9-1.1317.413.93.52

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Harpring64630.70-0.200.910.2316-112716.318.9-2.5714.113.20.89
Derek Fisher73700.440.060.370.2950517.216.70.5213.913.70.18
Deron Williams78760.380.120.260.41-16-717.316.11.2013.415.7-2.34
Rafael Araujo18180.330.170.15-0.1416-112714.617.7-3.1013.813.80.02
Paul Millsap42420.200.30-0.100.29-38-1115.518.4-2.8813.414.2-0.84
Gordan Giricek37380.190.31-0.130.016-1716.517.5-1.0814.613.31.26
Mehmet Okur54540.150.35-0.210.44-1015-2517.616.51.1213.614.1-0.40
Ronnie Brewer230.090.41-0.33-0.0341322.517.05.5011.313.9-2.57
Jarron Collins50480.080.42-0.330.17-38-1118.315.72.5713.713.9-0.14
Andrei Kirilenko5248-0.040.54-0.590.10-510-1518.415.52.9214.213.30.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 91, ATL 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,193.7%
GSW 101, IND 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.73,0.86,0.98,1,1,193.3%
NOH 96, HOU 1000.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.93,0.99,0.9,0.91,193.2%