NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	5.6 [671]		MVP	Toney Douglas (HOU): +14.3%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	1.9 [919]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (HOU): -12.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	15	69%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	19	53%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,0,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Davis	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	8	56%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	6	100%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	20	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.03
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.00	9	72%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	10	62%	0.10	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	14	41%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	9%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	10	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	30.5	15.0	27.3	2.4	31.2	132.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.9%

NOH -0.5%

HOU +12.6%

NOH -3.9%

HOU +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	HOU	NBA	NOH	HOU	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.4	104.3	108.7	104.1
season	16.3	14.2		103.9	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		105.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.0	15.2	16.8	17.0	16.2
HOU	14.0	13.6	15.3	18.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	44	42	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.20	9	-13	22	16.1	16.3	-0.22	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Xavier Henry	30	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-13	22	15.5	16.5	-1.07	15.4	15.0	0.35
Brian Roberts	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-5	6	17.1	15.8	1.33	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Al-Farouq Aminu	60	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-6	8	15.6	17.2	-1.54	15.5	14.5	0.94
Roger Mason Jr.	11	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	6	-16	19.2	15.8	3.40	12.2	15.6	-3.45
Anthony Davis	53	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.45	7	-11	18	16.3	16.1	0.23	16.6	13.1	3.59
Darius Miller	13	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	7	-18	18.8	15.8	3.01	12.4	15.6	-3.26
Jason Smith	33	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	8	-20	15.7	16.4	-0.71	13.1	16.3	-3.19
Greivis Vasquez	66	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-6	8	15.6	17.6	-1.94	15.8	13.6	2.12
Austin Rivers	68	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	1	-6	16.1	16.3	-0.14	15.5	14.2	1.35
Ryan Anderson	54	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.15	-12	8	-20	16.5	15.8	0.67	15.2	14.9	0.29

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	74	74	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-2	8	15.7	12.9	2.77	16.4	15.4	0.99
Marcus Morris	49	47	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.10	13	-9	22	15.0	15.3	-0.30	16.4	16.0	0.41
James Harden	76	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	6	-8	15.2	14.8	0.37	15.8	17.8	-1.97
Jeremy Lin	64	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.40	-5	9	-14	15.7	13.8	1.92	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Greg Smith	22	22	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	-5	14	13.4	15.7	-2.25	16.6	16.0	0.59
Carlos Delfino	29	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	-3	10	13.6	15.8	-2.24	16.4	16.1	0.33
Omer Asik	58	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	8	-12	15.1	15.2	-0.14	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Toney Douglas	33	33	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	-2	8	14.0	15.8	-1.79	16.5	16.0	0.42
Patrick Patterson	55	57	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.40	-10	14	-24	16.0	13.8	2.14	16.0	16.5	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.93,0.99,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 78, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	94.0%
GSW 101, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.73,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
WAS 84, PHI 100	0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.2%