inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 123 Excitement7.8 [315] MVPDe'Aaron Fox (SAC): +36.6%
Sacramento Kings 128 Comeback1.6 [688] LVPJalen Williams (OKC): -21.4%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.160,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.160.140.040.022760%0.223-0.061889%0.06
Luguentz Dort0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.130.020.04881%0.131-0.02580%-0.00
Ousmane Dieng0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.00475%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Isaiah Joe0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.030.000.02-0.01740%0.0300.001100%0.01
Josh Giddey0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.001464%0.134-0.1000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00475%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Cason Wallace0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Davis Bertans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Chet Holmgren-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.080.02-0.080.031254%-0.061-0.022100%0.01
Jalen Williams-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21-0.15-0.060.001417%-0.191-0.021100%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.370.370.160.17-0.042567%0.485-0.111173%-0.00
Keon Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.190.050.018106%0.2200.0000%0.00
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001460%0.102-0.05250%-0.02
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.011560%0.134-0.1000%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.00550%0.0300.0000%0.00
Keegan Murray0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.020.020.050.010.04862%0.061-0.04887%0.00
Kessler Edwards00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Vezenkov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.001100%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01736%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01825%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.41.728.214.629.42.441.8144.5
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +83.0%
OKC -21.2%
OKC -3.8%
OKC -8.0%
SAC +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSACNBAOKCSACNBA
this game13.512.914.5112.8117.4113.9
season13.914.0117.1115.6
opponent14.814.7113.6109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.014.713.812.713.5
SAC13.712.012.913.112.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaylin Williams33320.15-0.650.79-0.067-121913.513.50.0512.613.1-0.49
Josh Giddey6569-0.01-0.490.47-0.3110-152512.914.5-1.6212.713.2-0.50
Aaron Wiggins1414-0.10-0.400.300.05-50-517.113.04.0814.712.62.07
Jalen Williams6666-0.12-0.380.26-0.182-7913.713.20.4612.813.1-0.34
Ousmane Dieng2321-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-2-113.613.50.0713.612.70.88
Davis Bertans1010-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-2-115.513.32.1915.912.63.29
Luguentz Dort7575-0.15-0.350.20-0.243-81113.214.2-0.9612.813.2-0.48
Kenrich Williams2122-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-50-516.612.83.7914.612.52.17
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander8889-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.393-81113.015.9-2.9012.614.5-1.95
Isaiah Joe3836-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-61-712.314.2-1.8811.613.6-2.02
Cason Wallace4139-0.570.07-0.64-0.04-1813-3114.512.91.5613.812.41.46
Chet Holmgren7172-0.590.09-0.69-0.30-105-1513.114.2-1.1112.613.5-0.83

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Monk75740.69-0.190.880.3412-71912.912.90.0813.613.30.38
Trey Lyles39400.67-0.170.830.0222-173913.912.41.5014.712.81.87
Keon Ellis62640.51-0.010.510.249-41312.513.4-0.8313.313.8-0.41
De'Aaron Fox81820.310.190.120.2232112.314.8-2.5313.114.8-1.68
Domantas Sabonis89890.310.190.110.34-16-713.211.51.7213.712.70.94
Sasha Vezenkov23210.290.210.080.039-41313.812.71.1614.913.21.66
JaVale McGee1090.040.46-0.41-0.0223-111.713.0-1.3314.713.41.26
Kessler Edwards10-0.020.52-0.550.04-27-92.013.0-11.010.013.5-13.51
Harrison Barnes4848-0.030.53-0.560.18-712-1913.012.90.0913.113.9-0.77
Keegan Murray6971-0.040.54-0.580.31-1217-2913.212.30.9213.214.1-0.91
Kevin Huerter4847-0.220.72-0.940.07-1015-2512.613.2-0.6213.013.9-0.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.95,0.89,0.72,0.91,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 110, UTA 1250.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,193.1%
UTA 87, POR 900.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.99,193.0%
ORL 84, NOP 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,192.8%