NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	84		Excitement	5.8 [663]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): +13.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	101		Comeback	1.7 [1071]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -12.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	18	60%	0.16	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Aaron Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	69%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devyn Marble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	15	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	11	44%	0.06	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.03	22	47%	0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	22	49%	0.13	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	5	44%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	61%	0.04	3	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	15	34%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	42%	-0.04	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.0	27.3	17.3	23.5	2.4	32.4	131.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +10.3%

ORL -10.2%

NOP +26.2%

NOP +22.7%

NOP +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NOP	NBA	ORL	NOP	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	15.1	87.5	105.2	104.2
season	14.9	15.8		100.4	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		106.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	18.6	15.3	14.9	15.4
NOP	15.6	14.1	14.0	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devyn Marble	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	9.8	15.8	-5.97	16.0	14.5	1.54
Dewayne Dedmon	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	11.9	16.2	-4.24	14.8	14.5	0.25
Elfrid Payton	57	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-18	19	16.5	13.8	2.75	15.3	13.4	1.85
Nikola Vucevic	67	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-14	11	16.4	13.1	3.33	15.1	13.4	1.71
Willie Green	9	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.01	-3	-14	11	13.7	15.6	-1.94	17.7	14.3	3.39
Tobias Harris	70	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-13	9	16.1	13.5	2.59	14.8	13.9	0.93
Evan Fournier	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	-4	-9	15.8	14.6	1.15	13.7	16.4	-2.71
Ben Gordon	47	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	-2	-13	15.7	15.2	0.54	15.0	14.2	0.75
Aaron Gordon	58	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	1	-19	15.0	16.1	-1.12	14.4	14.8	-0.47
Luke Ridnour	39	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	1	-19	13.8	16.5	-2.75	13.4	15.3	-1.85
Kyle O'Quinn	45	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	-2	-13	15.0	15.8	-0.80	13.8	15.3	-1.58

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	43	45	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-1	19	15.2	14.1	1.15	15.5	15.4	0.16
Anthony Davis	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-2	21	13.9	16.6	-2.74	16.2	13.0	3.29
Austin Rivers	41	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	11	-5	15.8	13.6	2.19	13.3	17.0	-3.77
John Salmons	20	19	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	7	3	15.2	14.4	0.79	14.6	15.6	-1.06
Jimmer Fredette	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	14	-11	16.3	13.5	2.76	13.1	16.9	-3.82
Eric Gordon	62	62	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.29	17	0	17	13.6	16.4	-2.85	16.7	13.1	3.53
Jrue Holiday	53	53	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.19	9	8	1	13.9	15.4	-1.45	16.9	13.6	3.39
Omer Asik	67	67	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.25	11	6	5	14.4	15.1	-0.71	15.7	14.9	0.76
Tyreke Evans	67	69	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.24	10	7	3	14.2	15.3	-1.11	16.3	13.2	3.12
Luke Babbitt	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	16.2	14.5	1.70	8.4	15.8	-7.41
Alexis Ajinca	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	16.2	14.5	1.70	8.4	15.8	-7.41
Jeff Withey	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	16.2	14.5	1.70	8.4	15.8	-7.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 77, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
HOU 105, OKC 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
WAS 104, VAN 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%