NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	87		Excitement	6.3 [521]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +15.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	1.1 [868]		LVP	Danny Manning (UTA): -15.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	15	63%	0.11	6	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	16	62%	0.05	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
John Starks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	9	45%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Danny Manning	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	19%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	9	82%	0.19	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	11	58%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	13	62%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.06
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	9	37%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.6	27.4	15.7	28.2	2.5	38.3	138.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.6%

POR +15.1%

UTA -10.5%

POR +8.4%

UTA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.5	100.0	102.3	100.9
season	16.0	15.8		105.3	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.3	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.6	17.2	18.3	15.1	16.5
POR	13.8	17.0	16.8	18.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	25	25	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-4	5	16.4	16.6	-0.25	16.6	16.3	0.37
John Starks	53	55	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-9	15	16.0	17.4	-1.48	15.8	17.4	-1.63
David Benoit	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-2	1	19.4	16.2	3.24	18.6	16.1	2.43
John Stockton	61	61	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-8	13	16.1	17.5	-1.37	16.8	15.5	1.24
Danny Manning	30	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-3	3	16.9	16.4	0.50	16.5	16.3	0.27
Scott Padgett	6	6	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	2	-7	18.0	16.4	1.57	17.5	16.3	1.21
Donyell Marshall	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-4	5	16.0	18.0	-1.95	16.8	15.3	1.51
Jacque Vaughn	26	27	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	5	-13	17.5	16.1	1.37	15.5	16.8	-1.24
Greg Ostertag	36	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	3	-9	17.8	15.6	2.21	15.3	17.1	-1.86
Bryon Russell	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	16.2	17.1	-0.81	16.2	16.8	-0.62
Karl Malone	68	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	3	-9	16.4	16.9	-0.52	16.7	15.3	1.42

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	53	52	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	2	-1	16.5	16.2	0.29	15.9	17.5	-1.63
Dale Davis	45	45	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	2	-1	17.5	15.2	2.33	16.2	16.9	-0.66
Scottie Pippen	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	1	1	16.9	12.5	4.38	16.7	15.1	1.66
Detlef Schrempf	27	25	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	-1	5	15.8	16.6	-0.81	16.0	16.8	-0.76
Bonzi Wells	48	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	0	3	14.7	18.3	-3.57	16.8	16.2	0.58
Arvydas Sabonis	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	-1	5	15.1	17.7	-2.54	16.9	16.2	0.68
Rod Strickland	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.22	-3	6	-9	17.0	16.0	1.03	16.7	16.4	0.26
Rasheed Wallace	59	59	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	6	-9	16.7	15.7	1.02	16.8	16.1	0.69
Damon Stoudamire	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	0	3	16.4	16.4	0.01	15.5	17.2	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 74, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.9%
MEM 85, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
WAS 80, LAL 91	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	93.7%