NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	80		Excitement	5.8 [637]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +21.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	1.3 [1230]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -24.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	17	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Tracy Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Gerard King	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	13	47%	-0.06	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.20	-0.05	-0.01	17	18%	-0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.12	-0.03	23	58%	0.24	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	92%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
John Celestand	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	42%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	13	52%	-0.02	3	-0.06	14	79%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.04	14	45%	-0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.8	32.0	15.8	22.1	2.4	43.5	140.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.5%

LAL +10.0%

WAS -12.4%

LAL +10.1%

LAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.2	85.1	94.8	101.7
season	15.5	15.3		101.1	105.6
opponent	15.1	14.8		98.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	16.5	15.9	13.5	15.3
LAL	16.5	13.5	15.4	14.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerard King	14	15	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.04	3	-14	17	12.7	15.8	-3.06	11.9	15.6	-3.62
Reggie Jordan	2	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-10	9	3.5	15.6	-12.08	15.0	15.0	0.01
Rod Strickland	67	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-12	13	14.4	17.5	-3.03	15.5	13.6	1.88
Jahidi White	21	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-10	9	16.1	15.1	1.00	14.0	15.3	-1.34
Mitch Richmond	75	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-9	7	14.7	17.9	-3.23	15.5	13.0	2.48
Tracy Murray	52	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-8	5	15.0	15.8	-0.80	14.0	16.3	-2.35
Aaron Williams	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	16.1	15.0	1.10	13.6	15.5	-1.94
Michael Smith	37	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	15.9	14.9	1.03	16.9	13.8	3.05
Richard Hamilton	20	21	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	17.4	14.7	2.71	12.7	15.6	-2.97
Juwan Howard	72	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	1	-13	15.1	16.2	-1.13	15.5	13.5	1.93
Chris Whitney	25	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	0	-11	18.6	14.1	4.47	13.6	15.5	-1.93
Ike Austin	59	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	2	-15	15.7	14.7	0.92	16.2	13.1	3.02

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	88	88	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	0	11	15.7	7.4	8.31	15.6	11.0	4.61
Kobe Bryant	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	2	7	14.2	16.4	-2.20	15.6	14.8	0.77
Robert Horry	33	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	1	9	12.0	16.6	-4.60	16.8	14.6	2.17
Glen Rice	66	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	4	3	15.7	13.4	2.36	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Brian Shaw	14	15	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	2	7	12.2	15.5	-3.25	18.4	14.7	3.67
Derek Fisher	51	50	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	8	-5	15.9	13.9	1.99	15.4	15.2	0.17
A.C. Green	68	66	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	9	-7	15.7	13.2	2.56	14.4	17.5	-3.06
Rick Fox	30	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	7	-3	13.4	15.7	-2.36	15.5	15.2	0.31
Ron Harper	64	61	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	8	-5	15.6	13.8	1.72	14.3	17.2	-2.82
John Salley	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.04	-1	12	-13	11.0	15.1	-4.12	11.7	15.4	-3.77
John Celestand	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	18.0	15.0	3.04	9.0	15.4	-6.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,1,1,1	95.9%
HOU 71, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	94.8%
CHI 96, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%