NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	6.3 [602]		MVP	Derrick Rose (MIN): +28.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Comeback	1.4 [1103]		LVP	Robert Covington (MIN): -22.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	-0.00	18	67%	0.23	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	87%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	17	61%	0.11	4	-0.09	12	83%	0.03
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	52%	0.01	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	18	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.11	0.00	13	79%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	10	86%	0.20	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	23	62%	0.20	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.03	15	59%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.04	12	0%	-0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.25	-0.03	-0.05	18	11%	-0.23	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	26.3	15.4	24.9	1.8	32.6	128.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +15.7%

MIN +2.4%

MIN +27.6%

MIN +6.3%

CHI -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	12.7	15.7	14.3	94.1	109.9	109.3
season	14.6	14.4		104.2	110.2
opponent	14.0	14.3		111.8	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.4	12.4	13.3	11.7	12.7
MIN	18.7	13.4	15.5	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cristiano Felicio	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	7.0	12.8	-5.77	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Robin Lopez	35	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-17	19	13.6	12.2	1.39	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Cameron Payne	15	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-8	1	13.4	12.5	0.87	12.1	16.5	-4.42
Ryan Arcidiacono	72	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-8	1	12.2	13.8	-1.57	16.5	14.1	2.41
Justin Holiday	85	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-10	5	12.2	14.7	-2.46	16.2	13.5	2.72
Zach LaVine	80	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-9	3	12.5	13.3	-0.84	16.4	13.6	2.81
Shaquille Harrison	30	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-7	-1	13.8	12.2	1.57	14.1	16.5	-2.41
Jabari Parker	83	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-6	-3	12.5	13.3	-0.75	15.7	15.8	-0.13
Wendell Carter Jr.	67	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	2	-19	12.2	13.6	-1.39	16.1	14.9	1.21
Antonio Blakeney	41	39	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	2	-19	14.1	11.7	2.49	15.2	16.1	-0.94

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	65	67	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.04	18	-3	21	15.2	16.6	-1.41	12.6	12.8	-0.22
Karl-Anthony Towns	78	79	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.07	17	-2	19	16.1	14.6	1.46	12.5	13.3	-0.78
Dario Saric	51	52	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	4	7	15.9	15.6	0.26	12.4	12.9	-0.52
Robert Covington	78	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	4	7	15.4	16.9	-1.53	12.6	12.8	-0.19
Tyus Jones	42	42	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	8	-1	15.7	15.7	0.01	12.1	13.1	-1.00
Jeff Teague	59	60	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	7	1	15.7	15.7	-0.01	13.1	12.1	1.00
Taj Gibson	50	50	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	11	-7	15.6	15.9	-0.26	12.9	12.4	0.52
Andrew Wiggins	56	58	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	15	-15	16.8	14.4	2.44	13.0	12.2	0.80
Gorgui Dieng	23	23	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	17	-19	14.6	16.1	-1.46	13.3	12.5	0.78
Josh Okogie	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	15.3	15.7	-0.41	7.0	12.8	-5.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 82, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.8%
WAS 80, LAL 91	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	94.7%
PHI 87, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,1,1,1	94.0%