NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	85		Excitement	6.2 [588]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +33.7%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.4 [1044]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -23.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.01	6	76%	0.19	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	17	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Mike Conley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	63%	0.10	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.05
Xavier Henry	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	32%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Sam Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.13	-0.06	0.05	22	39%	-0.13	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.18	-0.01	7	100%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.01	21	59%	0.22	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.01	-0.01	14	65%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	13	43%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.00	11	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	10	30%	-0.09	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	28.7	15.0	29.0	1.8	28.2	131.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +45.7%

UTA +4.8%

MEM -6.1%

UTA +5.1%

UTA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.1	15.5	96.6	103.3	105.7
season	15.5	15.9		106.1	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.0	14.2	17.7	15.2	16.0
UTA	13.8	18.5	14.2	18.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-9	9	9.0	16.1	-7.13	0.0	16.1	-16.13
Zach Randolph	74	75	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.20	6	-15	21	16.2	15.1	1.07	16.1	16.1	0.01
Xavier Henry	45	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-4	-1	17.1	15.0	2.14	15.4	16.8	-1.44
Greivis Vasquez	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-8	7	15.1	16.3	-1.22	16.3	16.1	0.28
Rudy Gay	72	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-7	5	16.5	14.0	2.50	15.9	17.2	-1.36
Hasheem Thabeet	8	7	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	14.7	16.2	-1.43	13.7	16.3	-2.62
Darrell Arthur	31	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-1	-7	15.9	16.1	-0.22	16.5	15.9	0.63
Sam Young	16	17	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-2	-5	14.0	16.5	-2.50	17.2	15.9	1.36
O.J. Mayo	42	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-5	1	15.1	16.9	-1.82	16.8	15.4	1.44
Mike Conley	69	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	16.1	15.8	0.33	16.1	16.3	-0.28
Marc Gasol	62	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	16.3	15.4	0.88	16.2	16.0	0.18

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	67	65	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-5	19	16.0	16.5	-0.44	16.2	15.7	0.47
CJ Miles	55	51	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	0	9	17.5	14.1	3.34	15.1	17.4	-2.35
Raja Bell	72	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.15	10	-1	11	15.5	18.6	-3.09	16.4	14.7	1.74
Paul Millsap	61	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	3	3	15.7	16.9	-1.20	16.6	14.8	1.80
Kyrylo Fesenko	21	20	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	3	3	16.9	15.9	1.00	14.6	16.5	-1.81
Al Jefferson	70	68	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	6	-3	15.9	16.9	-1.00	16.5	14.6	1.81
Francisco Elson	17	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	6	-3	15.8	16.2	-0.45	15.6	16.1	-0.48
Earl Watson	38	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	9	-9	16.9	15.6	1.26	15.5	16.4	-0.97
Andrei Kirilenko	49	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	9	-9	15.3	17.1	-1.88	16.5	15.5	1.01
Ronnie Price	5	6	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	15	-21	21.4	15.8	5.57	13.8	16.2	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,1,1,1	94.4%
MIN 80, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,0.98,1	94.3%
UTA 87, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.99,1	93.8%