NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	80		Excitement	6.0 [599]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHI): +20.4%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	1.5 [1021]		LVP	Derrick Williams (MIN): -18.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Lee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Alexey Shved	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	11	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	9	46%	0.00	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.06	-0.03	10	9%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.13	-0.01	9	61%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	12	57%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	61%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	14	60%	0.12	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.5	25.4	15.4	26.3	1.8	32.5	128.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +33.6%

CHI +7.2%

CHI +9.2%

MIN -5.6%

CHI +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.4	93.0	100.0	104.1
season	15.6	16.6		101.3	101.7
opponent	15.2	14.9		102.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.1	16.5	15.7	17.9	16.5
CHI	18.2	16.2	16.3	16.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-1	-5	16.2	16.8	-0.59	17.2	16.4	0.76
Nikola Pekovic	63	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-8	9	16.3	17.0	-0.73	16.9	16.5	0.44
Alexey Shved	46	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-11	15	16.3	16.8	-0.49	17.6	15.8	1.74
Luke Ridnour	66	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-7	7	16.1	17.8	-1.68	16.4	18.0	-1.58
Malcolm Lee	20	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	0	-7	17.8	16.1	1.68	18.0	16.4	1.58
Chase Budinger	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	3	-13	16.6	16.4	0.14	15.7	18.2	-2.50
Greg Stiemsma	23	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	1	-9	17.0	16.3	0.73	16.5	16.9	-0.44
Dante Cunningham	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-6	5	16.8	16.2	0.59	16.4	17.2	-0.76
Andrei Kirilenko	75	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	1	-9	16.6	15.8	0.80	17.0	15.5	1.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	75	73	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-5	17	16.8	16.9	-0.16	16.6	15.9	0.69
Joakim Noah	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-2	11	15.7	21.7	-5.98	16.3	17.5	-1.24
Taj Gibson	41	38	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	6	-5	17.2	16.4	0.78	17.6	15.6	1.96
Marco Belinelli	39	37	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	5	-3	18.2	15.6	2.58	17.5	15.8	1.76
Nate Robinson	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	6	-5	16.3	17.7	-1.35	16.5	16.6	-0.16
Marquis Teague	11	10	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	5	-3	18.8	16.5	2.33	17.4	16.4	1.01
Richard Hamilton	45	46	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	2	3	16.5	17.1	-0.61	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Carlos Boozer	48	50	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	16.8	16.8	0.02	16.1	17.1	-1.03
Nazr Mohammed	13	13	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	8	-9	21.2	16.0	5.14	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Kirk Hinrich	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	3	1	17.0	16.7	0.28	16.2	16.6	-0.39
Jimmy Butler	15	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	12	-17	14.1	17.3	-3.28	14.4	17.0	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,1	94.5%
MEM 85, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
TOR 79, HOU 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.1%