NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	74		Excitement	6.1 [572]		MVP	Jason Collier (HOU): +9.2%
Houston Rockets	84		Comeback	1.1 [333]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -25.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rick Fox	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	3	100%	0.09	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	16	45%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Isaiah Rider	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	56%	0.02	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	7	25%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	-0.00	19	46%	-0.15	4	-0.10	14	57%	-0.10

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.08	0.01	11	60%	0.12	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	16	56%	0.13	7	-0.19	9	100%	0.04
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	10	36%	-0.06	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	29.2	17.5	26.4	2.4	36.3	136.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +16.9%

HOU +21.9%

HOU +20.3%

LAL -10.4%

HOU +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	17.6	15.5	81.3	93.3	100.9
season	15.6	16.3		106.8	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.2		102.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	13.5	16.0	12.1	14.2
HOU	18.0	16.5	16.0	20.1	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	18	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	13.2	14.5	-1.27	18.0	17.5	0.50
Rick Fox	41	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-8	6	14.0	14.5	-0.53	18.3	17.0	1.26
Tyronn Lue	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-8	6	12.8	14.4	-1.62	13.3	18.1	-4.74
Ron Harper	44	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-8	6	15.8	12.8	3.01	16.9	18.2	-1.31
Horace Grant	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-9	8	14.8	13.6	1.19	17.9	17.2	0.79
Greg Foster	5	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-6	2	17.0	14.1	2.92	12.2	18.0	-5.82
Brian Shaw	23	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-6	2	12.1	15.0	-2.88	20.1	16.8	3.30
Robert Horry	38	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	15.0	13.7	1.26	16.5	18.3	-1.83
Shaquille O'Neal	85	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-4	-2	14.2	14.2	0.08	18.0	12.2	5.82
Isaiah Rider	54	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.17	-10	0	-10	13.2	15.8	-2.60	17.5	17.8	-0.27
Kobe Bryant	88	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.22	-12	2	-14	14.4	10.0	4.39	17.7	15.7	2.00

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	54	54	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	0	10	17.5	17.8	-0.34	13.2	15.8	-2.60
Steve Francis	84	85	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	4	2	18.0	12.2	5.82	14.2	14.2	0.08
Shandon Anderson	76	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	1	8	18.0	15.4	2.66	13.9	15.8	-1.91
Jason Collier	24	23	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	4	2	16.9	17.9	-0.99	16.1	13.6	2.47
Kenny Thomas	26	28	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	5	0	19.2	16.9	2.29	14.6	14.1	0.53
Moochie Norris	18	19	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	6	-2	15.9	18.0	-2.07	13.5	14.4	-0.97
Hakeem Olajuwon	66	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	6	-2	17.9	16.9	0.99	13.8	15.4	-1.60
Matt Bullard	48	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	5	0	17.7	17.5	0.28	14.9	13.4	1.41
Maurice Taylor	54	53	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	9	-8	16.2	19.7	-3.49	15.0	13.2	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 70, MIA 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.7%
CLE 86, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	94.2%
IND 97, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,1	94.2%