inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 110 Excitement6.4 [554] MVPDonovan Mitchell (UTA): +41.9%
Utah Jazz 125 Comeback1.6 [1022] LVPAlex Caruso (CHI): -12.9%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach LaVine0.230,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.200.050.022069%0.271-0.03875%-0.01
Ayo Dosunmu0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.05-0.001165%0.182-0.071100%0.01
Coby White0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.02-0.001060%0.0500.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.040.022057%0.124-0.08475%-0.01
Javonte Green0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00383%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Tristan Thompson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Bradley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Nikola Vucevic-0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.011436%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.00520%-0.063-0.0700%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.420.420.220.19-0.012277%0.514-0.104100%0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.120.07-0.00873%0.211-0.02683%-0.00
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.030.031865%0.183-0.09475%0.01
Royce O'Neale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.03590%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.020.04864%0.071-0.04667%-0.02
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.01-0.00456%0.041-0.021100%0.00
Jared Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Xavier Sneed00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Paschall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.03-0.001154%0.063-0.08475%-0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00320%-0.0600.00450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.826.415.225.72.534.3132.9
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +47.4%
UTA +7.0%
UTA +11.2%
CHI -16.0%
UTA +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIUTANBACHIUTANBA
this game13.514.614.5106.8122.5110.8
season14.514.8110.9115.1
opponent14.714.5110.0112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.214.113.013.513.5
UTA15.615.313.614.214.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Thomas660.00-0.500.50-0.062-171910.213.7-3.5016.014.61.45
Tony Bradley660.00-0.500.50-0.062-171910.213.7-3.5016.014.61.45
Troy Brown Jr.98-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-161711.613.6-2.0916.914.42.43
Zach LaVine7374-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-141312.715.3-2.5914.315.5-1.14
Javonte Green4848-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-131112.913.9-1.0315.114.20.92
Tristan Thompson3333-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-161714.213.11.1415.214.40.85
Ayo Dosunmu6967-0.21-0.280.070.17-13-2-1113.014.4-1.3214.514.9-0.33
Coby White3938-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.24-1-141314.912.62.2615.514.11.33
Nikola Vucevic6463-0.37-0.13-0.230.16-183-2113.413.6-0.2414.215.3-1.13
Derrick Jones Jr.3939-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.14-9-6-313.913.20.7414.714.60.13
Alex Caruso5555-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.07-13-2-1113.912.90.9913.715.7-1.97
DeMar DeRozan7473-0.590.09-0.680.11-249-3314.111.72.4214.614.8-0.17

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Clarkson71740.52-0.020.550.0317-21914.315.5-1.2214.211.72.52
Nickeil Alexander-Walker46470.440.060.380.001501514.115.1-1.0014.212.81.37
Rudy Gay36360.420.080.350.07123914.414.8-0.3815.112.62.49
Donovan Mitchell63650.280.220.05-0.05114714.015.7-1.7913.313.8-0.47
Hassan Whiteside27270.250.250.01-0.0196313.515.1-1.5714.013.30.67
Rudy Gobert72730.250.25-0.01-0.05105514.814.10.7113.513.40.14
Royce O'Neale70710.220.28-0.05-0.07105514.614.7-0.0713.114.2-1.09
Mike Conley59570.150.35-0.200.03411-715.713.12.6313.213.8-0.57
Jared Butler650.050.45-0.400.05015-1514.214.7-0.5010.813.6-2.80
Xavier Sneed550.000.50-0.500.06-217-1916.014.61.4310.813.6-2.80
Eric Paschall550.000.50-0.500.06-217-1916.014.61.4310.813.6-2.80
Juancho Hernangomez5050-0.090.59-0.680.18-924-3315.513.81.7712.014.8-2.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 81, DEN 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.1%
LAL 93, LAC 1050.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.8%
CHI 112, POR 1240.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%