NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	5.4 [750]		MVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): +17.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	1.8 [1117]		LVP	Julius Randle (LAL): -9.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Brown	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	10	70%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	16	49%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.05	0.05	16	64%	0.05	6	-0.15	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.08	-0.03	14	59%	0.18	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.02	0.00	7	100%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.05	0.07	18	71%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.02	13	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
CJ Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	60%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	27.3	15.6	26.6	2.6	25.2	127.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.8%

LAL -1.4%

LAL -10.0%

LAC +30.8%

LAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	14.9	95.9	108.2	105.1
season	15.2	14.8		100.1	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.5		102.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	14.7	14.6	17.4	15.2
LAC	14.6	14.7	13.6	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	72	72	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-19	26	14.8	16.3	-1.56	14.9	13.4	1.57
Roy Hibbert	59	58	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-14	16	14.7	15.8	-1.07	14.5	14.6	-0.15
Julius Randle	70	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-11	10	15.3	14.8	0.49	14.1	15.5	-1.37
Nick Young	27	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-8	4	16.0	14.8	1.16	16.3	13.9	2.43
Anthony Brown	70	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-4	-4	14.8	16.0	-1.16	13.9	16.3	-2.43
Larry Nance Jr.	27	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-1	-10	14.8	15.3	-0.49	15.5	14.1	1.37
Lou Williams	70	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.01	-13	1	-14	15.2	15.1	0.02	14.2	15.5	-1.35
Brandon Bass	38	39	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	2	-16	15.8	14.7	1.07	14.6	14.5	0.15
D'Angelo Russell	52	49	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.15	-18	6	-24	15.7	14.5	1.18	14.4	14.6	-0.20

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	56	56	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.09	21	-9	30	15.1	13.8	1.25	15.8	14.3	1.43
Austin Rivers	51	52	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-5	22	14.9	14.1	0.83	16.1	14.1	2.01
DeAndre Jordan	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-9	30	14.5	14.7	-0.19	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Chris Paul	66	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	4	4	13.7	16.4	-2.74	14.9	15.7	-0.87
Lance Stephenson	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	5	2	15.7	13.7	2.01	15.7	14.8	0.92
Wesley Johnson	55	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	7	-2	13.7	15.7	-2.01	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Pablo Prigioni	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	8	-4	16.4	13.7	2.74	15.7	14.9	0.87
CJ Wilcox	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	13.7	14.6	-0.89	15.7	15.1	0.52
Cole Aldrich	27	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	19	-26	15.6	14.1	1.43	15.0	15.2	-0.28
Jeff Ayres	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	14	-16	9.8	14.8	-4.98	17.2	15.1	2.15
JJ Redick	46	45	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	17	-22	14.1	14.9	-0.83	14.1	16.1	-2.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	38	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	20	-28	13.8	15.0	-1.17	14.2	15.8	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MIL 108, UTA 121	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
CLE 88, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%