NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Excitement	5.7 [660]		MVP	Caris LeVert (CLE): +17.2%
Boston Celtics	116		Comeback	1.0 [1191]		LVP	Jarrett Allen (CLE): -6.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	16	68%	0.21	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	2	117%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Max Strus	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.06	0.05	24	58%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Darius Garland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.03	0.02	19	50%	0.08	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	3	150%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	11	68%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.09	0.02	22	52%	0.15	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.04	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	60%	0.09	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	20	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.6	28.6	15.3	23.3	2.0	26.3	127.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +22.0%

BOS +1.0%

BOS +12.6%

BOS +12.5%

BOS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.3	14.5	111.5	119.6	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		113.0	120.7
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.6	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	16.8	15.2	15.7	15.6
BOS	13.2	10.9	16.1	17.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-13	17	15.6	15.5	0.06	16.3	13.3	2.99
Tristan Thompson	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-6	3	17.1	15.4	1.72	9.5	14.6	-5.12
Jarrett Allen	77	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-8	7	14.9	18.2	-3.25	14.8	11.9	2.89
Max Strus	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-5	1	15.1	16.6	-1.48	13.5	16.1	-2.56
Dean Wade	33	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	2	-13	17.3	14.6	2.71	13.0	14.9	-1.94
Caris LeVert	66	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-8	7	15.2	16.3	-1.14	14.8	12.9	1.90
Georges Niang	43	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	16.0	15.2	0.90	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Darius Garland	74	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	2	-13	15.4	15.9	-0.46	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Donovan Mitchell	79	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	2	-13	15.8	14.5	1.31	14.2	14.9	-0.67

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-2	13	14.6	13.4	1.17	15.1	17.0	-1.85
Al Horford	47	45	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	0	9	14.3	14.3	0.08	16.3	14.9	1.35
Jayson Tatum	75	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	7	-5	14.6	13.4	1.15	15.0	17.3	-2.29
Derrick White	72	70	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	0	9	14.4	14.1	0.30	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Payton Pritchard	30	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	8	-7	13.2	14.8	-1.64	15.8	15.5	0.31
Jaylen Brown	74	72	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	5	-1	14.4	14.1	0.28	15.4	16.0	-0.54
Lamar Stevens	15	15	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	8	-7	14.5	14.3	0.20	18.9	14.9	3.93
Sam Hauser	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	0	9	13.5	14.8	-1.32	16.1	15.2	0.89
Kristaps Porzingis	61	63	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	10	-11	14.5	14.0	0.43	15.1	16.3	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.8,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.81,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
TOR 97, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
DEN 85, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.95,0.89,0.84,0.99,1,1	94.4%