NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	5.7 [721]		MVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): +15.2%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	1.0 [1229]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -21.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	12	71%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Jason Collier	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Obinna Ekezie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	55%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Donta Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	13	42%	-0.05	3	-0.07	7	29%	-0.07
Tyronn Lue	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	12	21%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.00	30	33%	-0.18	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.05	0.03	16	77%	0.21	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	83%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	14	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.01	-0.01	17	50%	0.05	6	-0.15	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.7	27.4	15.6	26.2	2.6	34.2	138.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +50.8%

BOS +13.3%

ATL -9.1%

ATL -3.3%

ATL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	12.9	15.5	94.0	106.0	104.0
season	15.6	14.4		98.1	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.1		104.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	15.1	16.3	17.2	15.9
BOS	11.4	14.2	12.5	13.5	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	7	6	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-16	20	11.0	16.3	-5.29	14.2	12.8	1.37
Kenny Anderson	28	29	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.20	7	-19	26	15.3	16.2	-0.88	14.3	12.3	2.01
Obinna Ekezie	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	13.5	16.0	-2.47	10.0	12.9	-2.94
Royal Ivey	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-4	-4	15.1	16.0	-0.93	9.9	13.2	-3.34
Predrag Drobnjak	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-13	14	15.5	16.5	-0.96	13.8	11.5	2.32
Antoine Walker	90	88	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	-7	2	15.5	19.7	-4.20	13.2	10.8	2.33
Donta Smith	17	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	14.5	16.2	-1.68	11.7	13.1	-1.41
Jason Collier	35	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	3	-18	17.3	15.2	2.15	11.0	13.8	-2.81
Josh Childress	58	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-7	2	15.8	16.0	-0.22	12.7	13.1	-0.45
Tyronn Lue	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-1	-10	16.4	15.2	1.13	12.7	13.1	-0.37
Josh Smith	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-2	-8	16.2	15.6	0.55	13.0	12.7	0.24
Al Harrington	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	16.8	13.1	3.68	12.9	12.7	0.28

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	68	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-6	24	12.4	13.9	-1.51	16.1	15.6	0.47
Ricky Davis	74	73	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	2	8	13.5	11.1	2.38	15.5	17.1	-1.58
Paul Pierce	83	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-2	16	12.9	13.0	-0.14	16.2	14.6	1.66
Al Jefferson	30	30	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	1	10	11.4	13.5	-2.07	15.8	16.0	-0.12
Gary Payton	73	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	3	6	12.5	13.9	-1.33	16.3	15.0	1.31
Marcus Banks	27	27	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	9	-6	13.9	12.5	1.33	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Walter McCarty	20	20	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	10	-8	14.5	12.5	2.02	17.2	15.6	1.60
Mark Blount	66	66	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	10	-8	13.0	12.6	0.35	15.8	16.1	-0.21
Tony Allen	14	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	14	-16	14.1	12.7	1.39	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Jiri Welsch	35	36	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	14	-16	11.6	13.6	-1.97	16.2	15.7	0.52
Kendrick Perkins	10	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	17	-22	14.9	12.7	2.24	13.3	16.2	-2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.81,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 104, SAC 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.83,0.89,1,0.98,1,1	94.6%
TOR 97, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
OKC 79, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.2%