NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	6.8 [464]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): +36.0%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	2.4 [225]		LVP	Josh Hart (NYK): -13.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	23	67%	0.25	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Immanuel Quickley	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.06	-0.00	8	94%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.06	13	64%	0.07	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	78%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
RJ Barrett	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	16	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	19	43%	-0.06	3	-0.06	16	69%	-0.00
Josh Hart	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	5	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.36	0.36	0.17	0.17	-0.02	13	70%	0.36	0	0.00	7	71%	0.03
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	4	125%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	18	67%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Omer Yurtseven	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	9	45%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	12	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	32.6	15.3	27.0	2.7	43.6	147.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.5%

UTA +10.3%

UTA +3.4%

NYK -1.3%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	UTA	NBA	NYK	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	14.1	14.5	109.7	113.6	113.9
season	15.6	14.7		116.8	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.4		119.0	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	15.7	15.2	10.6	13.9
UTA	13.9	15.6	13.6	13.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	61	61	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-16	28	12.5	15.9	-3.38	14.1	14.0	0.18
Julius Randle	85	86	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.49	13	-17	30	13.2	17.4	-4.29	13.9	14.9	-0.99
RJ Barrett	51	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	0	-4	15.1	12.8	2.29	14.7	13.4	1.29
Jalen Brunson	83	85	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.41	9	-13	22	13.3	16.6	-3.35	14.1	13.9	0.21
Isaiah Hartenstein	62	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-9	14	13.6	14.3	-0.65	15.1	12.6	2.51
Jericho Sims	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	4	-12	15.1	13.2	1.82	13.7	14.3	-0.55
Immanuel Quickley	39	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.11	-13	9	-22	15.5	12.9	2.63	12.8	14.8	-2.03
Josh Hart	63	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	3	-10	13.5	14.5	-1.06	13.9	14.2	-0.31
Quentin Grimes	33	32	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	0.09	-27	23	-50	16.2	12.8	3.44	13.5	14.3	-0.86

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taylor Hendricks	40	42	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.04	25	-21	46	13.8	14.2	-0.38	15.6	12.7	2.90
Ochai Agbaji	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-12	28	14.9	12.9	2.06	15.6	11.5	4.06
Kris Dunn	36	36	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-9	22	13.5	14.4	-0.86	15.9	12.8	3.14
Kelly Olynyk	65	63	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	5	-6	14.3	13.7	0.59	13.1	15.2	-2.08
Walker Kessler	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.20	3	1	2	13.1	14.9	-1.82	14.5	13.4	1.08
Talen Horton-Tucker	56	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.48	-8	12	-20	13.1	15.2	-2.16	12.6	15.4	-2.83
Collin Sexton	67	67	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.38	-9	13	-22	14.4	13.5	0.86	12.8	15.9	-3.14
Omer Yurtseven	10	9	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	-1	6	14.5	14.0	0.49	18.4	13.5	4.98
Simone Fontecchio	67	67	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.32	-10	14	-24	14.7	12.8	1.88	13.3	14.9	-1.60
Keyonte George	8	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	4	-4	14.5	14.0	0.48	14.9	13.8	1.08
Lauri Markkanen	57	56	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.35	-14	18	-32	13.9	14.2	-0.25	12.3	15.8	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,0.97,1,0.96,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SAC 93, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MEM 92, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%