NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	7.3 [384]		MVP	Sam Hauser (BOS): +22.7%
Boston Celtics	120		Comeback	3.5 [789]		LVP	Isaac Okoro (CLE): -3.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.14	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	22	63%	0.20	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	23	57%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	15	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	11	50%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.03
Georges Niang	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.14	-0.00	5	90%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.00	0.12	-0.07	16	51%	0.23	3	-0.04	9	100%	0.08
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.05	-0.02	7	79%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.07	-0.05	19	53%	0.22	4	-0.12	9	100%	0.05
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.02	0.01	9	85%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.03	17	66%	0.11	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	27.4	14.6	25.4	2.4	27.2	123.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +4.8%

BOS +31.4%

BOS +18.1%

CLE -7.2%

BOS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	14.5	116.5	122.4	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		113.0	121.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.8	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.8	14.8	17.8	16.9	15.3
BOS	12.5	13.4	14.3	17.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	44	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-9	11	14.8	15.7	-0.89	12.6	15.5	-2.87
Donovan Mitchell	74	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.34	6	-13	19	14.4	18.4	-4.07	14.1	14.6	-0.49
Caris LeVert	45	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	15.5	15.2	0.34	14.8	13.8	1.01
Tristan Thompson	21	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	4	-15	17.6	14.7	2.86	15.0	14.0	1.01
Jarrett Allen	76	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-11	15	14.7	17.6	-2.86	14.0	15.0	-1.01
Isaac Okoro	31	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	8	-23	16.6	14.7	1.84	14.5	14.1	0.44
Max Strus	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-8	9	14.8	17.6	-2.86	14.4	13.6	0.77
Georges Niang	43	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	7	-21	16.7	14.3	2.42	14.5	13.9	0.59
Darius Garland	73	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-4	1	15.8	14.0	1.77	14.4	13.4	1.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	82	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-2	11	14.1	14.7	-0.57	15.6	13.8	1.83
Jrue Holiday	69	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	5	-3	14.7	13.0	1.77	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Sam Hauser	39	39	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	-7	21	14.3	14.1	0.20	16.4	14.6	1.81
Kristaps Porzingis	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	10	-13	14.2	14.3	-0.19	14.7	16.6	-1.84
Al Horford	44	42	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.10	13	-6	19	14.4	14.1	0.31	15.9	14.9	0.97
Payton Pritchard	23	23	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	-3	13	14.5	14.1	0.34	17.0	14.8	2.25
Jaylen Brown	73	74	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.33	-6	13	-19	14.0	14.8	-0.73	14.4	18.4	-4.01
Luke Kornet	17	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	14.2	14.2	-0.05	16.8	15.0	1.81
Derrick White	77	76	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	13	-19	13.8	15.6	-1.73	14.8	17.2	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 110, HOU 125	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1	91.9%
SEA 98, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	91.8%
DEN 102, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.53,0.73,0.75,0.91,0.9,0.99,1	91.1%