NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	7.1 [429]		MVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): +24.7%
Houston Rockets	125		Comeback	3.9 [871]		LVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): -10.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devonte' Graham	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.07	0.17	-0.02	11	67%	0.28	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Monk	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.01	13	68%	0.16	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.07	0.04	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	12	65%	0.08	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Cody Martin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	9	67%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	17	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
P.J. Washington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	27%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.05	0.02	13	85%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.08	0.07	26	60%	0.25	3	-0.05	15	93%	0.05
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	10	70%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	6	58%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	8	61%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	10	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	22	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	28.8	13.8	25.5	2.4	32.3	131.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +17.8%

CHA -2.6%

CHA -3.2%

HOU +33.9%

HOU +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	HOU	NBA	CHA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	13.5	14.2	108.9	125.0	109.6
season	15.1	13.4		105.4	111.2
opponent	14.4	14.7		108.9	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.6	13.6	17.0	13.9	15.2
HOU	12.2	12.1	14.3	15.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	76	74	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-17	19	15.1	15.4	-0.28	13.5	13.4	0.05
Miles Bridges	82	81	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.06	0	-15	15	14.9	16.4	-1.45	13.9	11.5	2.39
Dwayne Bacon	23	23	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-17	19	15.3	15.2	0.15	13.5	13.5	0.02
Cody Zeller	26	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-11	7	17.4	14.4	2.96	13.3	13.5	-0.24
Willy Hernangomez	36	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-12	9	15.3	15.1	0.23	12.5	14.0	-1.59
Terry Rozier	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-4	-7	15.3	14.9	0.46	13.7	12.8	0.90
Cody Martin	76	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	5	-25	16.0	12.8	3.12	13.1	14.4	-1.30
P.J. Washington	53	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.01	-20	5	-25	13.9	16.6	-2.78	13.7	13.2	0.44
Malik Monk	64	65	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.19	-21	6	-27	14.6	16.2	-1.54	13.4	13.5	-0.04

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	81	84	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-5	25	13.4	13.8	-0.41	15.5	13.5	1.99
Austin Rivers	59	59	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-2	19	14.9	11.4	3.51	14.1	16.8	-2.73
Ben McLemore	75	77	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.05	18	-3	21	12.8	15.5	-2.75	16.3	11.5	4.78
P.J. Tucker	85	86	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	4	7	13.3	14.5	-1.18	15.1	15.5	-0.33
Danuel House Jr.	88	90	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	4	7	13.6	12.4	1.19	14.9	17.8	-2.95
Thabo Sefolosha	36	35	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	9	-3	13.8	13.3	0.50	15.9	14.8	1.15
Isaiah Hartenstein	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	16	-17	12.2	13.6	-1.32	11.5	15.5	-4.01
Eric Gordon	68	66	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	22	-29	13.1	14.3	-1.21	15.0	15.5	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.94,1,1	92.7%
SEA 98, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	92.5%
WAS 102, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.69,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.97,1	92.3%