NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	102		Excitement	6.7 [445]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +25.3%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	2.9 [546]		LVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): -10.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.10	-0.01	11	58%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	13	60%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	-0.01	0.08	20	63%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.11	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	14	62%	0.12	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.04
Matt Bonner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.10	-0.00	7	107%	0.30	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	10	69%	0.24	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	16	51%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	8	52%	0.11	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.03	15	53%	0.21	3	-0.11	13	85%	0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	13	59%	0.07	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	3.3	31.4	19.5	26.3	3.6	39.5	154.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +2.7%

PHX +24.2%

PHX +27.0%

SAS -3.6%

SAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	15.1	15.3	107.4	114.6	106.0
season	15.9	14.4		108.2	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.1	16.7	16.1	14.7	15.0
PHX	13.6	14.6	15.9	16.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	43	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-9	10	15.4	14.7	0.71	15.3	15.0	0.36
Keith Bogans	11	12	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-9	10	14.0	15.2	-1.17	14.1	15.3	-1.19
Garrett Temple	4	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.04	-3	-5	2	7.7	15.4	-7.60	7.7	15.4	-7.70
Matt Bonner	32	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-8	8	14.4	15.3	-0.94	12.9	16.3	-3.38
DeJuan Blair	19	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-6	4	14.3	15.2	-0.96	13.8	15.5	-1.61
Tim Duncan	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	15.2	14.3	0.96	15.5	13.8	1.61
Tony Parker	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	14.7	15.9	-1.18	15.5	14.1	1.39
Richard Jefferson	81	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	1	-10	15.5	12.4	3.14	15.4	13.1	2.37
Manu Ginobili	80	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-5	2	15.1	14.6	0.51	15.3	14.3	1.01
George Hill	58	59	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.26	-12	4	-16	15.4	14.5	0.94	15.7	14.2	1.48

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	59	60	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-6	20	15.4	14.7	0.69	15.6	14.1	1.54
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	81	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	2	4	14.8	17.4	-2.61	14.6	17.8	-3.23
Jared Dudley	58	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	15.4	14.6	0.82	14.3	16.1	-1.73
Steve Nash	72	70	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	2	4	14.7	16.5	-1.83	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Channing Frye	48	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-1	10	14.6	15.6	-1.00	16.8	13.0	3.78
Jason Richardson	69	68	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	2	4	14.7	16.1	-1.37	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Leandro Barbosa	27	27	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	6	-4	16.1	14.7	1.37	15.5	14.9	0.63
Goran Dragic	24	25	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	6	-4	16.5	14.7	1.83	16.0	14.7	1.31
Lou Amundson	22	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	9	-10	13.9	15.5	-1.64	13.6	15.4	-1.87
Jarron Collins	18	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	16	-24	17.7	14.5	3.20	14.2	15.2	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	94.7%
VAN 75, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	93.6%
SAS 79, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	93.3%