NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	6.2 [523]		MVP	Bison Dele (DET): +12.2%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	2.9 [534]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -23.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Williams	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	68%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.05	5	87%	0.03	1	-0.05	5	80%	-0.05
Xavier McDaniel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	19	51%	0.07	5	-0.18	5	60%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	15	35%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.10	0.01	19	47%	-0.11	4	-0.13	13	100%	0.05

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	14	66%	0.14	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	69%	0.17	4	-0.13	10	70%	-0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.01	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	16	53%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	29.2	15.4	23.0	2.6	46.4	144.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +55.7%

NJN -11.0%

DET +13.4%

NJN -6.8%

NJN -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	14.7	15.6	102.1	109.6	102.5
season	15.6	15.9		104.9	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.2		101.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.4	18.5	16.5	13.0	15.4
DET	15.7	14.3	14.8	14.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	40	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-10	16	14.0	16.4	-2.42	15.3	14.3	0.95
David Benoit	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	0	-4	13.3	15.7	-2.38	20.8	13.8	7.00
Keith Van Horn	83	81	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.40	8	-12	20	14.9	18.4	-3.43	14.6	15.8	-1.21
Jayson Williams	85	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-4	4	15.4	15.7	-0.37	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Xavier McDaniel	4	5	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	4	-12	21.0	15.2	5.82	15.6	14.7	0.93
Kerry Kittles	84	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-4	4	15.6	14.0	1.64	13.7	21.1	-7.37
Kendall Gill	77	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	2	-8	16.6	11.0	5.51	14.8	14.4	0.44
Michael Cage	19	18	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	4	-12	17.0	15.0	1.96	15.4	14.6	0.82
Sam Cassell	81	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	4	-12	15.0	17.4	-2.34	14.6	15.6	-1.08

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	78	81	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-4	12	14.3	16.6	-2.29	15.9	12.8	3.13
Theo Ratliff	45	46	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-8	20	16.1	13.5	2.58	16.2	14.7	1.47
Lindsey Hunter	62	64	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.13	17	-13	30	15.4	13.4	1.95	16.5	13.3	3.17
Bison Dele	86	86	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-8	20	14.6	16.4	-1.81	15.3	16.5	-1.27
Joe Dumars	63	64	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	2	0	14.8	14.6	0.12	14.5	17.2	-2.76
Charles O'Bannon	24	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	0	4	15.1	14.6	0.48	15.7	15.3	0.40
Malik Sealy	47	49	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	12	-20	14.1	15.4	-1.32	13.6	17.2	-3.62
Don Reid	6	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	12	-20	12.5	14.9	-2.38	12.6	15.6	-3.07
Jerome Williams	42	47	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	12	-20	15.8	13.8	1.96	16.8	14.1	2.65
Aaron McKie	17	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.13	-11	15	-26	10.6	15.6	-5.05	13.1	15.9	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.94,1,1	94.7%
SAC 97, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
SAS 79, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	93.2%