inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 98 Excitement6.4 [522] MVPMorris Peterson (TOR): +16.0%
Toronto Raptors 108 Comeback3.6 [642] LVPRonald Murray (SEA): -24.9%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ansu Sesay0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.000.07-0.02370%0.091-0.00475%-0.00
Brent Barry0.080,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.01967%0.0800.00683%0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.011462%0.101-0.024100%0.01
Vitaly Potapenko0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.050.00450%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Luke Ridnour0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.03-0.00657%0.071-0.042100%0.01
Reggie Evans0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0.010,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01967%0.073-0.05367%0.01
Richie Frahm0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.0330%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.03-0.041453%0.043-0.101080%-0.01
Jerome James-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.060.01558%-0.002-0.09250%-0.01
Ronald Murray-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.15-0.11-0.0150%-0.182-0.0720%-0.07

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.110.02786%0.202-0.0400%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.070.002853%0.152-0.041100%0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.04-0.021361%0.121-0.031060%-0.04
Lonny Baxter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.00464%0.051-0.04650%-0.04
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.02-0.01743%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Jalen Rose0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.041547%-0.023-0.038100%0.04
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.010.001432%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.530.416.525.20.235.4134.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +8.0%
TOR +3.6%
TOR +13.5%
TOR +23.6%
TOR +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEATORNBASEATORNBA
this game15.315.215.7104.3113.7100.5
season15.616.8105.094.8
opponent15.715.798.4105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA15.016.217.812.815.3
TOR15.714.515.814.815.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calvin Booth14140.13-0.630.750.014-141813.915.6-1.7116.115.01.14
Richie Frahm1414-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-101012.715.8-3.0512.615.6-2.96
Luke Ridnour3030-0.03-0.470.440.12-5-5016.015.00.9713.516.0-2.49
Reggie Evans1718-0.07-0.430.370.11-6-4-215.115.4-0.3013.915.5-1.51
Jerome James2829-0.17-0.330.17-0.08-3-7417.614.33.3217.114.32.74
Antonio Daniels5960-0.23-0.270.04-0.20-1-9815.115.7-0.5615.913.92.03
Ronald Murray3333-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-100-1015.815.00.7413.716.0-2.25
Vladimir Radmanovic8685-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.15-5-5015.512.92.6614.719.3-4.62
Rashard Lewis8082-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.20-5-5014.917.4-2.4915.513.22.24
Vitaly Potapenko3030-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.13-8-2-616.114.91.1614.715.4-0.68
Ansu Sesay1313-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.16-7-3-413.915.5-1.6116.614.91.68
Brent Barry6667-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.36-4-6215.016.1-1.1916.013.22.77

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lonny Baxter28280.64-0.140.780.2015-52014.115.6-1.5616.514.81.65
Morris Peterson43420.57-0.070.650.2511-11215.115.2-0.1413.117.1-4.04
Vince Carter87870.57-0.070.640.1913-31615.313.22.0915.315.10.18
Chris Bosh89890.450.050.400.2573415.313.71.6015.216.8-1.58
Jalen Rose87860.450.050.390.2473415.017.0-2.0015.512.92.66
Michael Curry16160.160.34-0.19-0.0573412.515.7-3.2116.815.01.81
Donyell Marshall7371-0.090.59-0.69-0.03-212-1415.514.21.2815.016.4-1.43
Alvin Williams5251-0.250.75-0.99-0.01-818-2616.014.11.9216.314.22.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 113, PHX 1170.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,192.6%
LAL 103, MIL 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.52,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.99,191.6%
UTA 92, ORL 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,191.5%