NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	6.4 [522]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +16.0%
Toronto Raptors	108		Comeback	3.6 [642]		LVP	Ronald Murray (SEA): -24.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ansu Sesay	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.02	3	70%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	14	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Richie Frahm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	14	53%	0.04	3	-0.10	10	80%	-0.01
Jerome James	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	5	58%	-0.00	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	5	0%	-0.18	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.07

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.11	0.02	7	86%	0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	28	53%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	13	61%	0.12	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.04
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	14	32%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	30.4	16.5	25.2	0.2	35.4	134.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +8.0%

TOR +3.6%

TOR +13.5%

TOR +23.6%

TOR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	TOR	NBA	SEA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.7	104.3	113.7	100.5
season	15.6	16.8		105.0	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.7		98.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	16.2	17.8	12.8	15.3
TOR	15.7	14.5	15.8	14.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	14	14	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-14	18	13.9	15.6	-1.71	16.1	15.0	1.14
Richie Frahm	14	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-10	10	12.7	15.8	-3.05	12.6	15.6	-2.96
Luke Ridnour	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-5	0	16.0	15.0	0.97	13.5	16.0	-2.49
Reggie Evans	17	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	-4	-2	15.1	15.4	-0.30	13.9	15.5	-1.51
Jerome James	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-7	4	17.6	14.3	3.32	17.1	14.3	2.74
Antonio Daniels	59	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-9	8	15.1	15.7	-0.56	15.9	13.9	2.03
Ronald Murray	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	0	-10	15.8	15.0	0.74	13.7	16.0	-2.25
Vladimir Radmanovic	86	85	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-5	0	15.5	12.9	2.66	14.7	19.3	-4.62
Rashard Lewis	80	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-5	0	14.9	17.4	-2.49	15.5	13.2	2.24
Vitaly Potapenko	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	16.1	14.9	1.16	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Ansu Sesay	13	13	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	13.9	15.5	-1.61	16.6	14.9	1.68
Brent Barry	66	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-6	2	15.0	16.1	-1.19	16.0	13.2	2.77

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	28	28	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-5	20	14.1	15.6	-1.56	16.5	14.8	1.65
Morris Peterson	43	42	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-1	12	15.1	15.2	-0.14	13.1	17.1	-4.04
Vince Carter	87	87	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-3	16	15.3	13.2	2.09	15.3	15.1	0.18
Chris Bosh	89	89	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	3	4	15.3	13.7	1.60	15.2	16.8	-1.58
Jalen Rose	87	86	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	3	4	15.0	17.0	-2.00	15.5	12.9	2.66
Michael Curry	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	3	4	12.5	15.7	-3.21	16.8	15.0	1.81
Donyell Marshall	73	71	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.03	-2	12	-14	15.5	14.2	1.28	15.0	16.4	-1.43
Alvin Williams	52	51	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	18	-26	16.0	14.1	1.92	16.3	14.2	2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 113, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.6%
LAL 103, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.52,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	91.6%
UTA 92, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	91.5%