NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	7.6 [314]		MVP	Drew Gooden (WAS): +20.0%
Denver Nuggets	105		Comeback	3.4 [429]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -28.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.11	-0.01	12	60%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	18	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.14	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Martell Webster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	42%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	0.01	-0.07	0.04	13	64%	0.04	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
John Wall	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.23,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.28	-0.14	-0.13	0.01	13	52%	-0.02	8	-0.26	3	67%	-0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.07	0.00	6	88%	0.22	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	11	77%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.08	-0.03	13	43%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.08	0.05	15	57%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Quincy Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	7	31%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.3	16.5	24.7	2.0	40.5	136.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +21.2%

DEN +1.9%

WAS -10.9%

DEN +40.6%

WAS -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	14.3	13.6	15.1	100.0	101.0	105.2
season	15.1	14.0		103.8	104.5
opponent	14.9	15.5		106.4	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	15.6	14.7	12.6	14.3
DEN	13.2	15.1	11.5	15.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	73	74	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.42	17	-20	37	13.7	15.8	-2.10	14.6	11.3	3.34
Garrett Temple	1	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-1	-1	3.0	14.4	-11.44	1.5	13.9	-12.38
Andre Miller	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	0	-3	15.0	14.1	0.88	14.2	13.4	0.83
Martell Webster	49	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	1	-5	14.7	14.0	0.63	13.0	14.3	-1.34
Trevor Booker	50	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	5	-13	14.3	14.4	-0.09	13.9	13.4	0.43
Al Harrington	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	0	-3	14.3	14.3	-0.07	14.4	13.2	1.14
John Wall	76	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-4	5	13.8	15.8	-1.99	13.1	15.3	-2.22
Trevor Ariza	76	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-2	1	13.7	16.0	-2.30	13.0	15.5	-2.47
Bradley Beal	79	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-2	1	14.7	13.1	1.60	14.6	10.6	3.98
Drew Gooden	39	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	8	-19	16.4	13.1	3.30	12.4	14.4	-2.06

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Arthur	58	55	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-7	17	12.9	14.5	-1.57	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Aaron Brooks	53	51	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-4	11	14.4	12.9	1.50	13.8	14.8	-1.04
Evan Fournier	47	46	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-9	21	13.0	14.2	-1.25	15.0	13.8	1.15
Ty Lawson	77	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	2	-1	13.1	15.1	-1.93	13.7	16.0	-2.30
Kenneth Faried	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.46	-6	9	-15	13.4	14.1	-0.75	13.8	15.5	-1.72
Randy Foye	75	74	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.27	-1	4	-5	13.5	14.1	-0.68	13.9	15.6	-1.72
Quincy Miller	27	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	1	1	15.1	13.1	1.93	16.0	13.7	2.30
Timofey Mozgov	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	5	-7	15.6	12.1	3.48	15.7	13.2	2.50
Jan Vesely	34	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	1	1	12.7	14.1	-1.39	14.8	14.1	0.73
Anthony Randolph	33	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	13	-23	13.9	13.5	0.34	15.0	14.0	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.69,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 75, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	92.7%
ATL 90, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.6%
SEA 99, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.98,1	92.4%