NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	109		Excitement	5.5 [697]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +25.5%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.5 [1024]		LVP	Jaylen Nowell (MEM): -12.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.03	0.06	21	71%	0.24	4	-0.10	10	90%	0.02
Vince Williams Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
David Roddy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Bane	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.15	-0.02	0.18	17	69%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Xavier Tillman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Nowell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.02	12	31%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.06	-0.04	21	62%	0.26	2	-0.00	13	100%	0.05
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.02	0.05	14	77%	0.17	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	2	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.07
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	18	37%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.5	15.5	33.5	2.4	39.5	147.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.1%

PHX +6.8%

PHX +11.3%

PHX +6.1%

PHX +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	13.0	14.8	14.5	103.8	113.7	113.9
season	14.8	14.6		106.3	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.5	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.8	14.2	14.1	10.0	13.0
PHX	16.2	12.9	13.5	16.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Tillman	25	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-7	7	13.9	12.7	1.18	16.2	14.4	1.80
Bismack Biyombo	38	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	13.9	12.5	1.45	14.5	15.0	-0.57
Vince Williams Jr.	62	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-9	11	13.3	12.6	0.70	15.1	14.4	0.70
John Konchar	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-4	1	13.4	12.8	0.64	13.9	15.5	-1.58
Desmond Bane	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-4	1	12.5	13.9	-1.42	15.6	13.4	2.24
David Roddy	70	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.12	-10	3	-13	12.7	13.7	-1.04	14.2	15.9	-1.66
Santi Aldama	67	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	12.6	13.7	-1.12	15.0	14.5	0.46
Jaren Jackson Jr.	81	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	0	-7	12.5	14.7	-2.14	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Jaylen Nowell	74	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	-1	-5	13.5	11.9	1.58	14.9	14.6	0.39

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	76	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-2	11	15.2	13.7	1.53	13.3	12.0	1.38
Kevin Durant	76	77	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-1	9	13.5	18.8	-5.39	12.6	14.1	-1.53
Josh Okogie	61	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-6	19	13.9	16.2	-2.36	12.2	14.1	-1.92
Grayson Allen	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	-1	9	13.3	19.0	-5.67	12.6	14.2	-1.64
Jusuf Nurkic	55	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-3	13	13.6	16.2	-2.60	14.2	11.5	2.70
Drew Eubanks	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	6	-5	17.3	13.6	3.69	13.7	12.7	1.06
Yuta Watanabe	29	30	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	5	-3	16.9	14.0	2.83	14.3	12.5	1.84
Nassir Little	28	29	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	8	-9	17.5	13.8	3.68	14.1	12.6	1.55
Jordan Goodwin	39	40	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	12	-17	15.4	14.5	0.85	12.3	13.5	-1.16
Keita Bates-Diop	36	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.23	-10	17	-27	16.8	13.7	3.09	11.8	13.7	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 89, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
GSW 73, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SAC 104, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%