NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	119		Excitement	7.5 [360]		MVP	Justin Holiday (DEN): +22.7%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	1.2 [753]		LVP	Kevin Durant (PHX): -16.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0.23	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.09	0.02	8	94%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	10	75%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	11	83%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Nikola Jokic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.12	-0.03	0.16	0.02	18	50%	0.19	3	-0.08	6	50%	0.03
Julian Strawther	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.05	0.03	16	54%	0.16	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Christian Braun	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.11	-0.02	9	65%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	-0.00	9	65%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.02	-0.03	22	63%	0.15	6	-0.10	5	60%	-0.05
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.01	11	73%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.03	-0.14	0.06	25	48%	-0.13	1	-0.04	13	100%	0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	26.5	15.4	27.6	3.3	39.4	140.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +69.9%

PHX -6.2%

PHX -16.1%

PHX -1.6%

DEN +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	14.5	124.0	113.3	113.9
season	15.0	14.6		116.2	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.6		113.5	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.5	14.7	14.4	17.2	15.1
PHX	15.5	14.7	13.8	14.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Porter Jr.	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	0	8	14.9	16.0	-1.05	14.5	14.7	-0.15
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	2	4	14.9	15.9	-1.05	14.4	14.9	-0.42
Nikola Jokic	72	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	2	4	14.8	16.1	-1.31	14.4	14.9	-0.42
Peyton Watson	51	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	3	2	14.7	15.6	-0.94	14.7	14.4	0.22
Justin Holiday	49	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	0	8	15.5	14.8	0.70	15.2	13.8	1.39
Reggie Jackson	59	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	8	-8	15.7	14.3	1.38	13.7	16.0	-2.29
Christian Braun	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	3	2	15.0	15.2	-0.19	14.9	14.3	0.58
DeAndre Jordan	24	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	6	-4	16.1	14.8	1.31	14.9	14.4	0.42
Julian Strawther	35	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	15.6	14.9	0.71	14.8	14.4	0.42

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chimezie Metu	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-7	6	16.9	14.3	2.57	15.4	15.1	0.25
Nassir Little	38	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	-2	-4	15.1	14.2	0.82	15.5	14.9	0.54
Jusuf Nurkic	67	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-12	16	14.7	14.2	0.52	14.9	15.7	-0.85
Jordan Goodwin	41	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	15.8	13.7	2.11	14.2	15.8	-1.63
Josh Okogie	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-12	16	13.4	15.8	-2.36	15.7	14.5	1.15
Keita Bates-Diop	35	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	3	-14	15.3	14.1	1.23	15.3	15.0	0.30
Drew Eubanks	30	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	1	-10	14.4	14.6	-0.22	15.7	14.9	0.85
Grayson Allen	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-4	0	13.9	16.8	-2.86	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Eric Gordon	69	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	14.1	15.7	-1.62	15.5	14.2	1.30
Kevin Durant	73	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-2	-4	14.8	14.0	0.79	14.8	16.2	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.23,0.4,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.15,0	94.0%
DAL 95, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.05,0	92.5%
LAL 91, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.09,0	92.3%