NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	7.2 [383]		MVP	Dan Majerle (PHX): +23.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	1.2 [310]		LVP	Darius Miles (LAC): -15.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.14	-0.01	7	79%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	28	53%	0.20	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.11	-0.05	0.14	-0.02	17	60%	0.27	6	-0.17	6	100%	0.07
Alton Ford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	9	52%	0.02	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	6	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	11	39%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	55%	0.05	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.07
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	53%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.08	4	-0.14	6	67%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	17	51%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	8	48%	-0.12	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.5	30.4	17.4	25.4	2.5	34.5	132.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.4%

PHX +3.9%

LAC -10.4%

PHX +1.0%

PHX +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	15.6	106.6	104.4	102.3
season	15.1	15.9		101.0	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		104.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	16.1	14.9	15.6	14.8
LAC	17.8	16.6	17.3	16.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	67	65	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.22	14	-11	25	14.6	15.2	-0.61	17.7	15.2	2.48
Shawn Marion	87	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	2	-1	14.8	14.7	0.05	17.0	17.2	-0.23
Joe Johnson	66	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	-2	7	15.1	14.1	1.00	17.1	17.0	0.10
Stephon Marbury	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	2	-1	14.5	17.1	-2.60	16.9	18.1	-1.20
Bo Outlaw	52	51	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	-7	17	14.8	14.8	0.01	17.6	16.3	1.37
Dan Majerle	40	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.47	-7	10	-17	14.9	14.7	0.13	16.0	17.9	-1.94
Anfernee Hardaway	28	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	3	-3	14.0	15.1	-1.11	17.1	17.0	0.16
Milt Palacio	11	11	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	1	1	17.1	14.5	2.60	18.1	16.9	1.20
Alton Ford	3	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	14.7	14.8	-0.14	12.7	17.2	-4.52
Jake Voskuhl	21	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	11	-19	15.3	14.6	0.69	16.0	17.4	-1.41

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	9	8	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-8	13	18.2	16.9	1.32	16.9	14.6	2.27
Eric Piatkowski	55	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-9	15	16.6	17.7	-1.07	14.0	16.1	-2.05
Tremaine Fowlkes	49	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	1	-5	17.8	16.1	1.63	13.9	15.9	-1.96
Michael Olowokandi	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	4	-11	16.9	17.4	-0.45	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Elton Brand	80	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	0	-3	17.2	15.4	1.84	14.7	16.2	-1.59
Quentin Richardson	53	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-2	1	16.8	17.3	-0.45	15.8	13.6	2.19
Darius Miles	54	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	0	-3	16.8	17.4	-0.59	15.8	13.5	2.35
Jeff McInnis	81	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.32	-8	5	-13	16.9	18.2	-1.32	14.6	16.9	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.23,0.4,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.05,0	93.2%
GSW 105, VAN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.41,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.01,0	92.4%
SEA 99, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.08,0	92.3%