inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 95 Excitement6.9 [468] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +30.8%
San Antonio Spurs 92 Comeback1.3 [478] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -16.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.310,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.310.120.17-0.012360%0.361-0.056100%0.07
Jason Terry0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.120.060.060.001164%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Erick Dampier0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.050.014100%0.192-0.073100%0.02
Josh Howard0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01955%0.061-0.02475%0.01
Anthony Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00450%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.001041%-0.032-0.0720%-0.06
DeSagana Diop-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.050.001100%0.023-0.1100%0.00
Austin Croshere-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.04-0.00530%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Devin Harris-0.170,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17-0.09-0.09-0.01856%0.046-0.2000%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.20.200.110.110.021662%0.313-0.111560%-0.02
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01764%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.09-0.010.02878%0.081-0.032100%0.01
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.010100%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05-0.050.01-0.050.01462%0.011-0.0600%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00430%-0.041-0.05250%-0.02
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.050.00729%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.0040%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.09-0.001355%0.085-0.20367%-0.03
Manu Ginobili0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.05-0.00942%-0.035-0.141100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.83.431.518.633.01.639.2152.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +36.5%
DAL +3.6%
DAL +7.8%
DAL +1.1%
DAL +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game15.715.615.4102.2101.1104.5
season16.316.2108.7107.5
opponent15.415.298.9102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.516.614.817.215.7
SAS17.614.014.017.115.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerry Stackhouse63620.76-0.261.010.3514-112515.316.7-1.4515.715.40.25
Dirk Nowitzki75730.60-0.100.710.378-51314.918.9-4.0015.715.10.59
Devin Harris70680.480.020.470.258-51314.519.3-4.7615.715.10.66
Erick Dampier42450.440.060.370.208-51317.014.72.3317.313.93.46
Jason Terry70700.310.190.110.51-710-1715.815.30.5015.814.90.88
DeSagana Diop48420.120.38-0.260.18-25-715.515.9-0.3714.616.4-1.74
Anthony Johnson25250.040.46-0.430.21-69-1517.815.02.8414.316.1-1.74
Greg Buckner17170.030.47-0.430.0303-317.715.32.4317.215.21.96
Josh Howard3633-0.100.60-0.69-0.07-14-515.415.9-0.5914.216.4-2.20
Austin Croshere1920-0.180.68-0.860.02-710-1718.015.12.8614.216.0-1.77

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jacque Vaughn18190.12-0.620.74-0.149-122113.716.0-2.3220.214.65.58
Beno Udrih44-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-3313.715.7-1.9211.715.9-4.15
Tim Duncan7375-0.07-0.430.36-0.4513-162915.416.4-1.0715.815.50.27
Francisco Elson1214-0.08-0.420.340.01-30-313.715.9-2.2115.915.70.25
Manu Ginobili4748-0.11-0.390.27-0.110-3315.315.9-0.6315.615.9-0.33
Robert Horry2730-0.16-0.340.17-0.08-30-316.715.11.5916.815.21.54
Brent Barry4447-0.20-0.300.10-0.417-101714.316.8-2.4916.315.11.17
Michael Finley2020-0.24-0.260.020.02-96-1516.215.40.8614.316.1-1.75
Bruce Bowen7271-0.510.01-0.52-0.34-63-916.213.32.8615.815.40.47
Fabricio Oberto6967-0.550.05-0.59-0.28-96-1515.914.51.3715.117.2-2.04
Tony Parker6970-0.680.18-0.86-0.27-1411-2516.213.72.4514.718.7-3.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 97, LAC 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.23,0.4,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.15,093.2%
GSW 105, VAN 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.41,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.01,092.1%
SEA 103, CHA 970.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.06,0.01,091.8%