inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 108 Excitement5.0 [788] MVPJaylen Nowell (MEM): +18.1%
Dallas Mavericks 94 Comeback1.2 [384] LVPKyrie Irving (DAL): -12.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylen Nowell0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.07-0.011466%0.201-0.021100%0.00
Santi Aldama0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.130.020.021077%0.151-0.032100%0.01
Vince Williams Jr.0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.110.000.07983%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Ziaire Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.01-0.04275%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Desmond Bane0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.12-0.030.062065%0.134-0.10667%-0.00
Kenneth Lofton Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Konchar0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacob Gilyard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaquille Harrison0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01367%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Derrick Rose-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00743%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Xavier Tillman-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.02825%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
David Roddy-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01930%-0.041-0.032100%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.03-0.011060%0.1000.0000%0.00
Grant Williams0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.011253%0.061-0.02683%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.00743%0.0100.0000%0.00
A.J. Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Dexter Dennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01444%-0.0000.0010%0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01150%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Richaun Holmes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.010.081457%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jaden Hardy0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02940%0.002-0.0420%-0.00
Dereck Lively II0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.01540%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Josh Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.040.001048%-0.003-0.071100%0.00
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.011529%-0.121-0.00580%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.526.414.431.92.027.3127.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +45.4%
MEM +2.9%
MEM +5.0%
DAL -4.4%
MEM +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDALNBAMEMDALNBA
this game15.314.814.5111.3100.0113.9
season14.814.3106.3115.6
opponent14.614.3113.6113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM13.913.716.018.015.3
DAL14.315.114.615.414.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Rose42400.51-0.010.52-0.1021-72815.015.5-0.5515.414.40.97
Santi Aldama66620.410.090.33-0.0817-32015.714.41.3615.413.81.51
Desmond Bane69690.350.150.19-0.041311214.716.7-1.9814.615.6-0.98
Bismack Biyombo50490.300.200.100.00104614.516.1-1.6314.814.9-0.05
David Roddy51490.290.210.07-0.071221015.015.6-0.5714.415.4-0.99
Vince Williams Jr.51490.230.27-0.04-0.09113816.214.41.7915.713.91.78
Xavier Tillman42400.200.30-0.10-0.0695416.314.61.6815.514.31.19
Jaylen Nowell50490.190.31-0.120.16113-1215.714.90.7215.414.21.23
Jaren Jackson Jr.28290.090.41-0.330.09014-1414.415.7-1.2414.015.2-1.17
Kenneth Lofton Jr.440.000.50-0.500.12-418-2214.715.3-0.5810.515.0-4.53
John Konchar440.000.50-0.500.12-418-2214.715.3-0.5810.515.0-4.53
Jacob Gilyard440.000.50-0.500.12-418-2214.715.3-0.5810.515.0-4.53
Shaquille Harrison440.000.50-0.500.12-418-2214.715.3-0.5810.515.0-4.53
Ziaire Williams2018-0.060.56-0.620.17-822-3015.815.20.6213.915.1-1.18

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
A.J. Lawson99-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-182212.115.1-3.0216.415.21.25
Dexter Dennis99-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-182212.115.1-3.0216.415.21.25
Olivier-Maxence Prosper2022-0.02-0.480.46-0.144-182213.915.1-1.1916.215.11.13
Richaun Holmes3536-0.04-0.460.43-0.185-192413.815.4-1.6115.115.4-0.36
Seth Curry3132-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-9415.714.41.3516.514.71.73
Kyrie Irving7072-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-6-8214.914.70.2315.215.5-0.23
Markieff Morris2625-0.22-0.280.060.10-11-3-816.514.22.2916.115.01.04
Josh Green6064-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-6-8214.914.70.2115.514.90.56
Dereck Lively II4548-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-8-6-215.014.70.3115.115.5-0.32
Jaden Hardy4143-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.07-10-4-614.615.1-0.5014.416.0-1.64
Grant Williams6263-0.42-0.08-0.330.11-184-2214.914.70.1815.016.0-1.02
Derrick Jones Jr.6262-0.520.02-0.540.15-239-3215.214.11.1314.916.1-1.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 110, LAC 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
NYK 86, PHI 750.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,094.7%
TOR 105, DET 920.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%