NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	105		Excitement	4.4 [865]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): +16.1%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	1.1 [891]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -11.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	11	70%	0.17	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.01	0.09	18	73%	0.12	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	75%	0.17	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Watson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.02	6	100%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	16	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	45%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Tony Snell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Thon Maker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	56%	0.02	5	-0.11	12	50%	-0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	12	30%	-0.04	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.2	27.4	15.6	31.2	2.4	25.6	126.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.6%

DET -14.3%

TOR +2.3%

TOR +13.7%

DET -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	16.1	14.2	109.4	95.8	109.6
season	14.0	15.1		109.9	108.3
opponent	14.2	14.5		111.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.4	15.8	15.0	12.7	13.9
DET	18.3	13.6	17.0	15.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	83	84	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.13	24	-11	35	13.7	15.3	-1.60	16.3	14.4	1.89
Fred VanVleet	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-2	17	14.3	13.0	1.36	17.1	13.7	3.37
Norman Powell	59	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	-5	23	13.4	14.8	-1.48	15.7	16.7	-0.96
Chris Boucher	36	34	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	-1	15	13.4	14.2	-0.77	17.1	15.5	1.66
Kyle Lowry	62	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	2	9	13.8	14.2	-0.48	16.2	15.9	0.30
Serge Ibaka	56	59	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	8	-3	14.1	13.6	0.48	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Patrick McCaw	31	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	5	3	13.0	14.4	-1.37	18.1	15.2	2.91
OG Anunoby	46	47	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	12	-11	14.5	13.4	1.18	16.4	15.7	0.69
Terence Davis	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	20	-27	14.7	13.7	0.95	13.2	17.0	-3.81
Matt Thomas	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	15.5	13.9	1.64	7.0	16.4	-9.37
Stanley Johnson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	15.5	13.9	1.64	7.0	16.4	-9.37
Paul Watson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	15.5	13.9	1.64	7.0	16.4	-9.37
Oshae Brissett	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	15.5	13.9	1.64	7.0	16.4	-9.37

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thon Maker	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-7	1	18.7	15.1	3.65	14.1	13.9	0.20
Andre Drummond	71	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-12	11	15.6	17.3	-1.63	14.0	13.7	0.37
Tony Snell	61	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-13	13	15.6	17.0	-1.41	14.4	13.2	1.19
Reggie Jackson	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-15	17	14.6	18.6	-3.97	14.8	12.4	2.40
Markieff Morris	38	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-3	-7	16.8	15.6	1.23	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Svi Mykhailiuk	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	16.4	15.7	0.76	13.3	14.7	-1.31
Bruce Brown	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-2	-9	15.6	16.4	-0.82	13.1	14.5	-1.35
Langston Galloway	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-5	-3	15.6	16.6	-0.94	14.3	13.6	0.69
Derrick Rose	59	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.04	-12	-1	-11	16.9	14.8	2.05	13.6	14.4	-0.86
Christian Wood	25	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-1	-11	17.3	15.6	1.63	13.7	14.0	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
OKC 84, NJN 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%
SEA 94, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.7%