NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	4.3 [930]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +25.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	1.3 [1010]		LVP	Steve Blake (LAC): -8.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.03	0.03	15	79%	0.28	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	12	71%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	12	75%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	17	57%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	9	62%	0.06	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	13	64%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.01	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	29.4	15.5	26.4	2.5	30.4	132.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +12.4%

ATL +10.4%

ATL +3.4%

ATL +26.0%

LAC -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	16.1	15.3	118.3	98.9	106.0
season	16.0	15.5		109.4	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.8		108.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	12.6	16.6	16.2	14.8
LAC	15.2	18.1	15.4	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	64	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.13	22	-4	26	14.5	15.5	-0.94	17.0	14.3	2.64
Josh Smith	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	3	12	14.5	15.4	-0.86	17.1	14.5	2.57
Marvin Williams	66	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	2	14	14.4	15.9	-1.43	16.8	14.7	2.09
Jamal Crawford	57	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	4	10	15.1	14.4	0.64	15.7	16.8	-1.09
Joe Johnson	60	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	4	10	14.9	14.7	0.27	16.4	15.7	0.67
Maurice Evans	28	31	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	13	-8	14.9	14.8	0.03	15.0	16.7	-1.65
Mike Bibby	46	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	15	-12	14.8	14.9	-0.15	16.8	15.5	1.26
Joe Smith	23	23	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	14	-10	15.7	14.6	1.08	15.2	16.4	-1.27
Jeff Teague	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	16	-14	15.3	14.7	0.63	14.9	16.5	-1.66
Jason Collins	3	2	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	18	-18	13.7	14.9	-1.21	10.5	16.3	-5.75
Zaza Pachulia	37	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	23	-28	15.4	14.4	0.99	14.2	17.5	-3.33

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	4	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-16	14	14.2	16.2	-1.96	16.0	14.8	1.23
Mardy Collins	17	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.17	-8	-10	2	18.9	15.5	3.44	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Steve Novak	30	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-17	16	15.6	16.4	-0.83	15.0	14.7	0.28
Eric Gordon	74	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-17	16	15.3	19.4	-4.14	15.0	14.2	0.79
Chris Kaman	69	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-10	2	16.6	14.9	1.69	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Bobby Brown	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-11	4	13.9	17.6	-3.63	14.6	15.0	-0.33
Steve Blake	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-1	-16	17.9	12.8	5.08	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Craig Smith	48	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-2	-14	15.1	17.2	-2.12	15.1	14.6	0.45
Rasual Butler	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-5	-8	15.3	20.4	-5.09	15.1	13.5	1.64
DeAndre Jordan	48	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	-1	-16	18.1	14.0	4.08	14.3	15.5	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 121, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAC 112, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.6%
SAS 105, GSW 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%