NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	121		Excitement	4.5 [901]		MVP	CJ Watson (GSW): +18.2%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	1.2 [526]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -8.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.04	0.02	8	100%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	13	71%	0.13	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.03	0.06	10	79%	0.11	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.01	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	19	54%	0.10	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	23	48%	0.03	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	10	90%	0.16	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	73%	0.14	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	100%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	7	47%	0.03	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	52%	0.06	4	-0.09	7	71%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.00	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	30.5	16.7	26.2	2.3	30.6	131.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.2%

NYK -3.8%

NYK -2.9%

GSW +22.5%

GSW +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	13.7	14.3	15.3	116.3	104.9	106.0
season	13.4	14.7		106.5	105.9
opponent	15.5	14.8		109.9	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.4	12.4	15.3	15.0	13.7
NYK	14.8	13.4	14.7	14.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	102	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	1	12	13.9	5.5	8.37	14.3	14.0	0.26
CJ Watson	59	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.04	14	0	14	13.5	14.0	-0.47	14.7	13.7	0.93
Monta Ellis	97	97	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	3	8	13.8	12.0	1.84	14.3	13.8	0.48
Corey Maggette	55	53	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	5	4	13.7	13.8	-0.08	14.3	14.2	0.14
Kelenna Azubuike	87	87	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	3	8	13.4	15.1	-1.61	14.3	13.9	0.38
Anthony Morrow	64	61	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	10	-6	14.0	13.2	0.75	13.8	15.0	-1.16
Stephen Curry	7	5	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	11	-8	12.0	13.8	-1.84	13.8	14.3	-0.48
Mikki Moore	37	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	13	-12	14.0	13.6	0.45	13.7	14.5	-0.82
Anthony Randolph	12	13	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	10	-6	13.0	13.8	-0.80	15.5	14.1	1.38

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	8	7	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-17	20	12.1	14.4	-2.31	13.0	13.8	-0.76
Marcus Landry	13	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-16	18	14.4	14.2	0.15	12.8	13.9	-1.07
Jordan Hill	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-18	22	14.3	14.2	0.11	14.5	13.4	1.11
Darko Milicic	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-14	14	16.0	14.1	1.91	14.6	13.6	0.98
Larry Hughes	38	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-12	10	14.5	14.1	0.39	14.7	13.1	1.62
Chris Duhon	65	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-14	14	13.7	15.2	-1.47	13.1	14.8	-1.66
Wilson Chandler	53	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-6	-2	14.0	14.6	-0.57	14.0	13.4	0.64
David Lee	69	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-6	-2	14.0	14.8	-0.88	13.1	15.0	-1.91
Toney Douglas	57	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	15.0	13.4	1.61	13.9	13.5	0.39
Nate Robinson	49	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	3	-20	14.1	14.4	-0.33	13.6	13.8	-0.23
Al Harrington	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	2	-18	14.8	13.7	1.06	13.6	13.8	-0.28
Danilo Gallinari	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	1	-16	14.2	14.3	-0.10	13.9	13.3	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
ATL 110, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
NYK 94, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%