NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	125		Excitement	8.1 [268]		MVP	Landry Shamet (WAS): +24.2%
Orlando Magic	130		Comeback	2.1 [927]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): -8.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.08	0.16	-0.00	8	68%	0.30	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.08
Corey Kispert	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	11	58%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Tyus Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	10	65%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	7	86%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	87%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	12	42%	0.00	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.03	-0.08	0.03	18	64%	0.14	6	-0.22	6	83%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.11	0.05	17	65%	0.23	0	0.00	14	86%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.00	20	65%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.01	13	62%	0.25	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	11	61%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	150%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	28.6	15.2	33.5	1.8	39.6	149.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +21.4%

ORL +1.4%

ORL +18.9%

ORL +4.0%

ORL +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	13.6	13.5	14.5	116.8	122.6	113.9
season	13.7	15.1		109.8	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.1		109.4	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.9	14.0	14.4	12.1	13.6
ORL	14.3	14.3	11.7	13.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	47	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	0	-5	13.6	13.6	-0.03	13.8	13.3	0.54
Johnny Davis	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-3	1	15.0	13.4	1.63	13.7	13.4	0.28
Landry Shamet	40	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-8	11	12.8	14.0	-1.15	13.3	13.5	-0.20
Danilo Gallinari	44	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	14.4	13.0	1.46	14.1	13.0	1.03
Corey Kispert	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-3	1	14.0	13.2	0.80	14.1	13.0	1.08
Bilal Coulibaly	69	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-6	7	13.1	14.5	-1.44	13.7	13.1	0.59
Tyus Jones	61	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	13.2	14.0	-0.83	13.0	14.1	-1.08
Jordan Poole	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-1	-3	13.7	13.4	0.31	13.0	14.3	-1.27
Daniel Gafford	63	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-4	3	13.0	14.4	-1.46	13.0	14.1	-1.03
Kyle Kuzma	82	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	2	-9	14.0	12.0	2.05	13.5	13.3	0.23

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Suggs	60	63	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-5	15	12.1	15.2	-3.05	13.5	13.6	-0.11
Paolo Banchero	84	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.53	1	4	-3	13.0	15.5	-2.50	13.6	13.4	0.24
Franz Wagner	78	78	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.45	0	5	-5	13.4	13.7	-0.28	13.1	14.9	-1.87
Joe Ingles	51	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-8	21	14.6	12.4	2.19	14.1	13.1	0.96
Moritz Wagner	50	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	-4	13	14.9	12.2	2.67	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Jonathan Isaac	15	14	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	-5	15	14.1	13.4	0.69	14.0	13.5	0.49
Goga Bitadze	51	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	3	-1	13.0	13.9	-0.87	14.6	12.6	2.05
Anthony Black	52	54	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	10	-15	12.2	14.7	-2.47	14.0	13.1	0.87
Cole Anthony	38	36	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	9	-13	14.7	12.8	1.97	13.0	13.8	-0.82
Gary Harris	51	48	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.13	-11	16	-27	14.1	12.9	1.21	13.0	14.0	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 81, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.65,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.4%
NYK 92, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.89,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.96,0.99,1	92.9%
DET 99, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%