NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	4.3 [937]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +12.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	3.4 [875]		LVP	John Collins (UTA): -23.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ochai Agbaji	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.04	3	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	19	29%	-0.02	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Omer Yurtseven	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Samanic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.26,-0.25,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.09	0.02	12	35%	-0.12	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.00	22	65%	0.17	4	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	11	58%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	16	62%	0.16	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	6	57%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daishen Nix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	28.1	14.4	27.4	2.3	25.6	122.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +44.0%

UTA -5.2%

UTA -8.6%

MIN +20.6%

UTA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	14.5	92.8	104.1	113.9
season	14.7	14.9		113.7	114.3
opponent	14.7	13.9		108.5	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.6	16.8	16.7	13.2	15.6
MIN	12.7	14.5	13.9	15.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	28	26	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-13	15	14.5	16.0	-1.49	16.0	13.5	2.55
Luka Samanic	24	24	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-9	7	15.1	15.7	-0.57	14.4	14.0	0.38
Talen Horton-Tucker	38	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-12	13	14.1	16.5	-2.43	15.7	13.1	2.65
Collin Sexton	50	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-8	5	14.4	16.7	-2.30	14.9	13.5	1.39
Walker Kessler	54	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-4	-3	15.8	15.3	0.54	13.5	14.9	-1.40
Omer Yurtseven	28	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-7	3	16.1	15.3	0.82	14.4	14.0	0.41
Ochai Agbaji	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.28	-3	-8	5	15.3	16.4	-1.14	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Keyonte George	65	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	0	-11	16.4	13.9	2.42	13.5	15.5	-2.04
Simone Fontecchio	67	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	0	-11	16.1	14.3	1.77	13.6	15.6	-2.02
John Collins	58	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.04	-17	6	-23	16.5	14.2	2.35	13.4	15.2	-1.71

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Brown Jr.	57	59	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.05	20	-9	29	13.4	15.2	-1.90	16.7	13.7	2.99
Rudy Gobert	77	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-4	19	13.3	17.5	-4.24	16.0	14.0	2.07
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	75	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-4	19	13.8	15.1	-1.30	15.8	14.7	1.07
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	76	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	2	7	14.5	13.1	1.42	15.9	14.2	1.68
Mike Conley	58	59	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	7	-3	14.1	14.2	-0.08	16.0	14.8	1.17
Daishen Nix	19	19	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	5	1	15.7	13.7	1.99	15.5	15.6	-0.04
Naz Reid	45	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	13	-15	15.0	13.3	1.70	14.1	16.7	-2.63
Shake Milton	41	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	17	-23	15.1	13.4	1.63	14.1	16.6	-2.52
Kyle Anderson	41	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	17	-23	14.1	14.1	-0.02	14.2	16.5	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 67, CHH 81	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
SEA 93, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%