NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	67		Excitement	4.4 [918]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): +3.9%
Charlotte Hornets	81		Comeback	2.3 [633]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -14.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	19	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Glen Rice	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	33%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	9	28%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	15	47%	-0.11	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	75%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	22	54%	0.05	4	-0.08	13	77%	-0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	29.5	19.7	30.7	3.0	30.3	140.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +29.6%

CHH +8.7%

CHH +10.6%

NYK -1.1%

CHH +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHH	NBA	NYK	CHH	NBA
this game	15.0	17.9	15.5	77.0	92.0	100.9
season	16.4	15.8		99.2	99.7
opponent	15.6	16.1		97.0	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	15.1	15.2	15.7	15.0
CHH	17.7	20.1	13.6	21.1	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-13	12	13.9	15.2	-1.30	21.0	17.4	3.60
Travis Knight	4	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-12	10	5.2	15.5	-10.27	13.8	18.1	-4.30
Kurt Thomas	31	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-12	10	15.4	14.9	0.53	17.8	17.9	-0.01
Chris Childs	40	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-9	4	15.4	14.7	0.66	20.6	15.6	5.04
Luc Longley	22	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-11	8	15.3	15.0	0.36	17.9	17.8	0.02
Glen Rice	47	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-3	-8	15.2	14.9	0.32	18.1	17.6	0.51
Latrell Sprewell	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-5	-4	14.9	15.8	-0.85	17.8	18.3	-0.48
Charlie Ward	51	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.08	-13	-1	-12	14.9	15.3	-0.44	16.2	20.4	-4.17
Larry Johnson	82	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	-2	-10	15.4	10.0	5.35	17.8	18.9	-1.09
Allan Houston	70	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	-2	-10	15.1	14.7	0.42	17.3	19.9	-2.56

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-6	26	18.3	15.0	3.35	15.6	11.8	3.73
David Wesley	74	74	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.00	20	-6	26	17.2	21.1	-3.83	14.9	16.2	-1.30
P.J. Brown	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-3	20	18.7	14.7	3.97	15.5	13.2	2.30
Baron Davis	71	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	3	8	18.0	17.4	0.62	15.6	12.4	3.27
Derrick Coleman	37	35	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	11	-8	17.4	18.2	-0.86	14.5	15.4	-0.99
Elden Campbell	48	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	15	-16	18.5	17.0	1.52	15.4	14.5	0.92
Jamaal Magloire	10	9	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	9	-4	15.0	18.2	-3.22	13.8	15.2	-1.41
Otis Thorpe	8	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	13	-12	10.2	18.6	-8.36	13.2	15.2	-1.98
Hersey Hawkins	35	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	14	-14	19.3	16.9	2.47	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Lee Nailon	13	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	20	-26	15.0	18.3	-3.35	11.8	15.6	-3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	95.6%
BOS 80, DEN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
CHI 83, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%