NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	83		Excitement	4.9 [853]		MVP	Reggie Bullock (DET): +16.6%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	3.0 [793]		LVP	Bobby Portis (CHI): -17.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Payne	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.01	10	81%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	4	112%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	12	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	4	20%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.02	-0.05	15	24%	-0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.21	-0.02	-0.05	10	10%	-0.12	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.04	0.04	12	87%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	17	66%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	10	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	5	80%	0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Hearn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	9	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	5	33%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	23.8	15.3	25.7	1.6	28.7	119.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +47.0%

DET +8.5%

CHI -4.4%

CHI -0.8%

CHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	16.7	14.7	87.4	106.5	107.5
season	14.2	14.9		103.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	15.0		106.3	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.8	14.3	15.4	13.3	13.9
DET	17.2	17.1	16.6	16.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	24	24	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-21	26	12.8	14.3	-1.53	17.2	16.6	0.64
Robin Lopez	24	24	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-21	26	12.8	14.3	-1.53	17.2	16.6	0.64
Antonio Blakeney	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	13.2	14.0	-0.78	14.4	16.9	-2.46
Cameron Payne	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-12	8	13.4	14.4	-0.98	15.9	17.5	-1.63
Cristiano Felicio	19	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-13	10	11.8	14.5	-2.62	18.4	16.3	2.12
Noah Vonleh	39	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-11	6	14.5	13.5	0.98	15.6	17.5	-1.84
Denzel Valentine	62	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-5	-6	13.1	15.5	-2.37	17.1	16.1	1.04
Bobby Portis	55	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-4	-8	14.3	13.4	0.93	16.5	17.1	-0.65
Kris Dunn	49	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-4	-8	14.7	13.2	1.52	17.5	15.9	1.63
Zach LaVine	52	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	1	-18	14.4	13.4	0.99	17.1	16.3	0.78
Lauri Markkanen	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	1	-18	14.1	13.7	0.45	17.0	16.4	0.54
David Nwaba	47	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-4	-8	15.2	12.7	2.48	15.8	17.6	-1.72

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	66	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.12	19	-3	22	17.1	15.8	1.29	14.3	13.0	1.31
Ish Smith	59	60	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	-3	22	17.1	16.0	1.11	14.4	13.1	1.30
James Ennis III	61	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	6	4	16.3	17.6	-1.32	14.8	12.3	2.46
Andre Drummond	57	58	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.12	18	-2	20	17.3	15.8	1.51	14.3	13.4	0.83
Reggie Bullock	62	63	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	0	16	17.3	15.6	1.73	13.8	14.1	-0.28
Luke Kennard	61	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	6	4	16.7	16.8	-0.12	13.4	15.0	-1.60
Eric Moreland	36	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	18	-20	15.8	17.3	-1.51	13.4	14.3	-0.83
Jameer Nelson	34	35	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	19	-22	16.0	17.1	-1.11	13.1	14.4	-1.30
Anthony Tolliver	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	15	-14	16.0	17.0	-1.05	13.4	14.1	-0.67
Reggie Hearn	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	14.0	16.8	-2.79	7.5	14.1	-6.58
Henry Ellenson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	14.0	16.8	-2.79	7.5	14.1	-6.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 80, DEN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
NOK 80, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NYK 67, CHH 81	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.0%