NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	8.2 [253]		MVP	Jakob Poeltl (TOR): +19.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	3.8 [420]		LVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): -10.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl	0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2	0.14	0.07	0.01	9	90%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.01,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	11	60%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Precious Achiuwa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	33%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Chris Boucher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	17	45%	0.07	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Scottie Barnes	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	14	45%	-0.01	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Malachi Flynn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	41%	-0.06	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	13	46%	-0.04	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.02	10	90%	0.24	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	16	62%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	16	73%	0.24	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	9	44%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	35%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.06	0.00	17	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
Evan Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.02	14	40%	0.00	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	27.0	15.7	29.5	2.5	37.3	135.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +56.5%

TOR -10.5%

CLE +5.9%

TOR -2.6%

CLE +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	14.5	101.0	105.0	113.9
season	14.0	14.8		111.3	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.7		111.3	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.1	12.6	13.3	13.7	13.9
CLE	14.6	14.6	13.3	16.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	50	54	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-13	23	14.1	13.6	0.41	15.3	14.3	1.02
OG Anunoby	73	73	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-14	25	13.1	15.9	-2.87	15.0	14.4	0.55
Jakob Poeltl	75	74	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-12	21	13.3	15.5	-2.22	15.3	13.5	1.72
Otto Porter Jr.	12	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	1	-5	15.2	13.7	1.49	13.0	15.0	-2.03
Dennis Schroder	60	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.41	10	-13	23	13.5	14.3	-0.82	15.7	13.4	2.32
Pascal Siakam	80	80	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.32	6	-9	15	13.4	15.5	-2.05	14.8	14.8	0.01
Chris Boucher	21	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	6	-15	15.5	13.4	2.05	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Malachi Flynn	36	33	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	10	-23	14.9	13.2	1.70	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Precious Achiuwa	26	24	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	12	-27	15.5	13.3	2.22	14.4	14.9	-0.57
Scottie Barnes	72	68	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.25	-20	17	-37	14.0	13.4	0.61	14.1	16.4	-2.35

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	84	87	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-9	21	14.7	15.6	-0.97	14.1	12.4	1.65
Georges Niang	47	49	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-10	23	14.6	15.0	-0.44	13.9	13.8	0.09
Caris LeVert	44	43	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	-3	9	15.2	14.5	0.70	14.7	13.2	1.55
Tristan Thompson	16	15	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	-4	11	14.2	14.9	-0.67	15.1	13.6	1.51
Donovan Mitchell	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	2	-1	14.9	14.6	0.35	13.1	15.9	-2.78
Max Strus	79	79	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.35	-4	7	-11	15.0	14.2	0.72	13.5	15.2	-1.70
Evan Mobley	81	81	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	7	-11	14.6	15.7	-1.08	13.8	13.9	-0.06
Isaac Okoro	19	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	6	-9	14.1	15.0	-0.94	14.4	13.7	0.73
Jarrett Allen	58	57	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.24	-13	16	-29	15.1	14.5	0.58	13.6	14.1	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.27,0.41,0.47,0.44,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 106, LAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.7,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	91.3%
VAN 102, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.96,1,1,1	91.1%
GSW 75, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	90.7%