NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	100		Excitement	8.3 [233]		MVP	Collin Sexton (UTA): +30.1%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	9.8 [111]		LVP	Dyson Daniels (NOP): -33.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Alvarado	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.12	-0.01	11	59%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	17	64%	0.11	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Naji Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.03	22	50%	0.10	1	-0.09	8	62%	-0.03
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	10	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dyson Daniels	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.26,-0.34	-0.22	-0.15	-0.02	14	21%	-0.16	5	-0.18	1	0%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.30	0.01	0.27	-0.02	13	53%	0.36	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.13	-0.01	6	93%	0.27	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	0.00	10	52%	0.16	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omer Yurtseven	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.08	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	8	56%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Keyonte George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	48%	0.04	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	26.6	14.7	26.1	1.7	33.4	130.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +53.1%

UTA +13.3%

UTA +19.5%

NOP -33.5%

NOP -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	UTA	NBA	NOP	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	14.5	14.5	98.0	104.0	113.9
season	14.4	14.7		114.8	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.7		119.0	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.3	13.8	14.4	15.4	13.9
UTA	13.0	15.0	16.3	14.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Alvarado	43	44	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.15	11	-16	27	14.3	13.6	0.72	16.5	12.9	3.61
Naji Marshall	44	43	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	-3	1	13.7	14.1	-0.36	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Cody Zeller	42	43	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.40	14	-19	33	13.7	14.0	-0.34	16.2	13.2	3.04
Larry Nance Jr.	27	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-3	1	13.2	14.2	-0.99	14.0	14.6	-0.67
Brandon Ingram	76	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-8	11	14.2	13.1	1.07	14.8	13.4	1.38
Jordan Hawkins	87	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-9	13	13.7	15.3	-1.67	14.2	15.9	-1.65
Jonas Valanciunas	60	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.00	-17	12	-29	14.0	13.7	0.34	13.2	16.2	-3.04
Dyson Daniels	76	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.08	-18	13	-31	13.6	14.7	-1.05	13.6	16.7	-3.06
Herbert Jones	55	55	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.33	-18	13	-31	14.5	13.2	1.26	14.2	14.8	-0.54

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	49	49	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-6	17	14.9	14.1	0.76	14.9	13.0	1.82
Collin Sexton	57	57	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	2	1	15.5	13.2	2.31	14.3	13.5	0.80
Omer Yurtseven	58	58	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	1	3	13.5	15.7	-2.19	14.0	13.8	0.20
Talen Horton-Tucker	43	44	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-4	13	15.0	14.0	1.01	14.6	13.4	1.15
Ochai Agbaji	44	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	0	5	15.4	13.7	1.67	14.7	13.3	1.35
Simone Fontecchio	57	57	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	5	-5	13.7	15.4	-1.67	13.3	14.7	-1.35
Keyonte George	59	60	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	7	-9	13.8	15.3	-1.49	13.3	14.8	-1.49
Kris Dunn	43	45	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	13.4	15.3	-1.86	13.2	14.4	-1.19
Walker Kessler	43	43	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	6	-7	15.7	13.5	2.19	14.0	13.8	0.15
John Collins	52	52	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	11	-17	14.1	14.9	-0.76	13.2	14.7	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.16,0.13,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 99, PHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.68,0.99,1	92.3%
HOU 94, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.99,1	91.1%
MIN 112, SAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.84,1	91.1%