NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	6.3 [540]		MVP	Chet Holmgren (OKC): +24.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Comeback	1.0 [1073]		LVP	Torrey Craig (CHI): -11.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	17	53%	0.21	1	-0.04	13	100%	0.08
Coby White	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.00	17	68%	0.14	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	13	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	79%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chet Holmgren	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.15	-0.07	11	55%	0.27	2	-0.03	11	73%	-0.01
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.04	0.05	9	95%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	6	93%	0.19	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.23	-0.00	0.09	19	71%	0.18	2	-0.04	18	94%	0.03
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Cason Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	13	36%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	26.0	14.4	29.9	1.7	35.0	133.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +29.9%

OKC +6.9%

OKC +3.1%

OKC +7.0%

OKC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	OKC	NBA	CHI	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	14.5	106.2	120.8	113.9
season	14.5	13.9		113.4	117.1
opponent	14.7	15.0		109.7	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	19.6	13.7	15.3	13.8	15.4
OKC	14.3	15.7	12.8	15.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	54	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-9	4	15.5	15.3	0.17	14.7	14.4	0.34
Jevon Carter	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-11	8	14.5	16.0	-1.55	15.1	14.2	0.90
Nikola Vucevic	72	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-11	8	15.9	13.8	2.10	14.9	13.7	1.24
Patrick Williams	72	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-11	8	15.9	13.9	2.04	14.8	13.9	0.97
Coby White	72	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-9	4	15.9	14.0	1.88	14.6	14.6	0.05
Andre Drummond	24	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-3	-8	13.8	15.9	-2.10	13.7	14.9	-1.24
Ayo Dosunmu	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	15.5	15.4	0.08	14.7	14.5	0.24
DeMar DeRozan	75	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	2	-18	14.9	17.1	-2.16	14.2	16.0	-1.86
Torrey Craig	30	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	1	-16	15.2	15.5	-0.25	13.9	15.0	-1.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chet Holmgren	67	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-4	22	14.2	15.4	-1.22	14.6	17.3	-2.68
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	75	72	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-2	18	14.2	16.0	-1.74	15.8	14.1	1.71
Isaiah Joe	55	55	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	3	8	14.1	15.2	-1.09	15.1	15.8	-0.61
Kenrich Williams	49	50	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	4	6	14.3	14.9	-0.50	14.1	16.8	-2.68
Luguentz Dort	55	55	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	5	4	14.8	14.4	0.40	15.2	15.7	-0.44
Lindy Waters III	9	7	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	7	0	14.1	14.6	-0.53	20.4	15.0	5.42
Cason Wallace	46	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	16	-18	15.0	14.2	0.74	17.1	14.0	3.07
Josh Giddey	55	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	11	-8	15.7	13.1	2.57	15.4	15.4	0.04
Aaron Wiggins	22	24	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	12	-10	13.4	15.0	-1.60	13.8	15.9	-2.10
Jaylin Williams	26	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	16	-18	14.8	14.5	0.35	18.3	14.4	3.89
Vasilije Micic	21	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	16	-18	16.0	14.2	1.74	14.1	15.8	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, CHA 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.94,1,1	93.1%
DEN 85, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.95,0.89,0.84,0.99,1,1	92.9%
LAL 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	92.8%