NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	9.8 [89]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +86.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	2.7 [711]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -22.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.37	0.07	0.31	0.01	16	72%	0.47	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.00	5	100%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Fred VanVleet	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.17,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.08	-0.00	14	50%	0.16	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	21	57%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jock Landale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	10	39%	-0.02	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.5,0.61,0.86	0.86	0.25	0.60	-0.01	19	79%	0.96	2	-0.10	9	78%	-0.04
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.42	0.42	0.11	0.31	0.00	7	85%	0.48	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.1	-0.10	0.11	-0.18	0.02	15	73%	0.17	4	-0.27	7	71%	-0.02
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	11	9%	-0.15	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.08	0.01	8	22%	-0.14	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	29.5	14.4	32.5	2.5	35.4	141.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -8.5%

LAL +41.8%

LAL +29.6%

HOU -20.5%

LAL +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.3	14.5	105.1	107.1	113.9
season	14.2	14.1		113.2	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.6		114.3	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	11.7	14.8	15.2	14.2	13.9
LAL	16.0	14.0	14.2	17.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	63	64	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.34	21	-22	43	13.4	14.9	-1.45	15.9	14.2	1.64
Aaron Holiday	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-3	5	12.9	14.4	-1.49	16.2	14.9	1.24
Jae'Sean Tate	31	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-7	13	11.7	15.0	-3.25	17.3	14.3	2.98
Jalen Green	67	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-4	7	13.7	14.4	-0.64	14.5	17.0	-2.48
Jock Landale	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	5	-11	16.6	13.7	2.92	11.4	15.7	-4.28
Jeff Green	28	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	14	-29	14.4	13.8	0.58	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Fred VanVleet	83	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.47	4	-5	9	13.9	14.2	-0.30	15.5	14.5	0.96
Dillon Brooks	85	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-4	7	14.2	12.4	1.84	15.0	17.1	-2.08
Jabari Smith Jr.	66	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	4	-9	14.6	12.6	2.00	15.0	15.9	-0.91
Tari Eason	34	32	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.22	-18	17	-35	15.5	13.1	2.33	15.5	15.2	0.29

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Reddish	81	83	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-12	25	14.5	19.2	-4.75	14.0	13.5	0.52
Austin Reaves	50	52	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-8	17	15.2	15.4	-0.26	14.0	13.9	0.09
Taurean Prince	52	50	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.75	-6	7	-13	15.3	15.3	-0.04	13.3	14.6	-1.33
LeBron James	81	83	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	-1	3	14.9	17.1	-2.19	14.1	13.2	0.90
Rui Hachimura	65	65	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.43	-2	3	-5	15.7	14.6	1.10	13.7	14.4	-0.76
Christian Wood	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	-7	15	15.6	15.2	0.41	15.5	13.1	2.39
D'Angelo Russell	50	50	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	8	-15	15.8	14.8	0.97	13.8	14.0	-0.20
Jaxson Hayes	10	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	5	-9	18.7	14.9	3.78	12.6	14.1	-1.43
Anthony Davis	66	69	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.04	-8	9	-17	15.5	14.9	0.64	13.8	14.3	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.75,0.89,0.67,0.56,0.72,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 103, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.58,1	92.0%
MIL 116, POR 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.73,1	91.4%
POR 96, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.68,0.58,1	91.0%