NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	8.7 [142]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +45.4%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	2.4 [441]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -33.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.35,0.35,0.45	0.16	0.30	0.01	10	85%	0.45	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	72%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Steve Kerr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	73%	0.12	4	-0.15	3	33%	-0.10
Damon Stoudamire	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25	-0.09	-0.15	0.02	15	42%	-0.15	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Bonzi Wells	-0.33	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33	-0.14	-0.17	0.02	20	50%	-0.12	7	-0.21	8	87%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3	0.30	0.05	0.26	0.01	12	65%	0.35	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.09
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	8	69%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	16	59%	0.08	6	-0.18	9	67%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	8	40%	-0.06	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.8	27.2	17.7	29.2	3.6	37.2	141.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +1.5%

POR -0.9%

UTA +17.2%

UTA +20.4%

UTA +11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	17.1	15.6	106.7	107.8	102.3
season	16.0	16.1		105.0	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.6		101.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	13.9	14.5	16.9	14.9
UTA	19.1	16.1	17.5	15.8	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	14	13	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.05	3	-4	7	11.9	15.4	-3.49	15.7	17.4	-1.67
Steve Kerr	23	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-9	17	12.1	15.8	-3.69	19.9	16.1	3.82
Ruben Patterson	33	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-1	1	14.1	15.3	-1.19	16.3	17.6	-1.27
Rasheed Wallace	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	5	-11	14.5	15.3	-0.76	17.3	17.0	0.32
Shawn Kemp	40	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-8	15	15.0	14.8	0.17	17.3	16.9	0.40
Bonzi Wells	76	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.44	1	-2	3	15.0	14.1	0.95	17.1	17.1	0.07
Scottie Pippen	72	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	3	-7	15.7	11.7	3.94	16.8	18.6	-1.79
Damon Stoudamire	71	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.41	-6	5	-11	15.5	12.4	3.18	16.6	19.0	-2.38
Dale Davis	73	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	7	-15	15.2	13.3	1.95	17.4	15.9	1.52

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	62	62	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-10	21	15.7	20.3	-4.59	16.2	12.0	4.18
Jarron Collins	57	55	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-5	11	17.5	16.5	1.01	15.4	14.1	1.34
Bryon Russell	71	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.54	2	-1	3	18.1	13.6	4.49	16.0	10.9	5.11
Karl Malone	80	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	4	-7	17.3	15.8	1.49	14.5	17.5	-2.95
Scott Padgett	33	34	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	1	-1	15.9	17.8	-1.92	16.8	13.7	3.13
Andrei Kirilenko	54	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	-4	9	17.3	16.9	0.39	13.8	16.6	-2.80
Greg Ostertag	14	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	1	-1	18.6	16.9	1.72	15.7	14.7	0.95
John Amaechi	10	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	3	-5	12.7	17.7	-4.98	10.9	15.3	-4.43
John Starks	3	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	2	-3	8.3	17.4	-9.09	10.3	15.0	-4.70
DeShawn Stevenson	38	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	4	-7	16.6	17.5	-0.89	13.6	15.9	-2.26
Rusty LaRue	28	28	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	11	-21	20.3	15.7	4.59	12.0	16.2	-4.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 73, MIA 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.36,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.74,1	92.7%
BKN 103, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.58,1	92.5%
CHI 113, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.69,0.89,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.77,0.58,1	92.2%