NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	5.7 [654]		MVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): +37.0%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	1.3 [535]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -13.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paolo Banchero	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.37	0.02	0.33	-0.02	12	50%	0.39	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.01
Goga Bitadze	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	11	67%	0.10	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Franz Wagner	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	16	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Suggs	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Black	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.32	0.32	0.00	0.31	-0.01	16	53%	0.39	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	7	89%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	65%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	5	64%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	0.02	18	46%	-0.02	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	10	25%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.7	29.0	14.5	27.0	1.7	36.5	138.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +14.1%

ORL +9.3%

CHI -1.2%

ORL +21.8%

ORL +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	13.4	14.5	98.0	94.9	113.9
season	15.1	14.5		111.8	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.4		115.1	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	14.5	18.0	17.1	15.8
CHI	12.2	15.5	11.2	15.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	36	37	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	-1	4	16.3	15.5	0.73	11.4	14.7	-3.28
Franz Wagner	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	1	0	15.5	16.3	-0.73	14.4	11.7	2.78
Goga Bitadze	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	-4	10	16.4	15.1	1.30	12.9	14.1	-1.20
Jonathan Isaac	35	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	-2	6	13.4	17.1	-3.71	15.7	12.1	3.55
Jalen Suggs	57	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	4	-6	15.9	15.7	0.19	12.2	15.2	-3.01
Paolo Banchero	68	68	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.45	-8	10	-18	16.6	14.1	2.52	11.7	17.3	-5.61
Cole Anthony	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-2	6	15.8	15.8	-0.05	15.1	12.2	2.89
Gary Harris	41	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	0	2	15.7	15.9	-0.23	15.0	12.3	2.64
Moritz Wagner	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	0	2	15.8	15.8	-0.03	15.1	12.3	2.84
Anthony Black	56	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	4	-6	15.9	15.8	0.10	12.5	14.5	-2.00

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	68	69	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-7	12	13.4	13.5	-0.17	16.0	15.3	0.72
Julian Phillips	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	2	-6	15.1	13.2	1.85	11.5	16.3	-4.81
Andre Drummond	26	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	4	-10	13.7	13.4	0.30	15.5	15.9	-0.47
Jevon Carter	31	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	1	-4	15.3	12.6	2.70	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Alex Caruso	50	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.40	7	-9	16	12.3	14.6	-2.33	16.3	15.4	0.90
Ayo Dosunmu	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	4	-10	14.7	12.7	2.07	15.6	15.9	-0.34
Zach LaVine	74	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-5	8	12.7	15.6	-2.90	16.4	14.1	2.33
Nikola Vucevic	73	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-6	10	13.4	13.7	-0.30	15.9	15.5	0.47
Patrick Williams	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	0	-2	12.9	14.6	-1.67	15.9	15.7	0.22
Torrey Craig	59	57	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.44	-8	6	-14	13.9	12.7	1.23	15.6	16.1	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 105, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	95.1%
NYK 120, CHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
ATL 80, MIN 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%