NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	80		Excitement	3.8 [1018]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +9.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	66		Comeback	1.3 [834]		LVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): -12.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.01	-0.06	13	66%	0.14	3	-0.04	12	100%	0.04
Eldridge Recasner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.03
Henry James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	12	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Mookie Blaylock	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	17	26%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	10	18%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	19	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Doug West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	27%	-0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	0.00	-0.03	12	19%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	13	44%	-0.05	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	4	27%	-0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.8	26.4	14.8	25.2	2.4	29.6	124.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +20.9%

ATL +7.4%

ATL +10.8%

ATL +13.2%

MIN -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	18.8	15.3	15.6	94.1	78.6	104.4
season	16.4	15.5		105.3	103.3
opponent	15.5	16.0		105.3	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.9	15.0	21.2	22.5	18.8
MIN	17.4	16.3	14.8	12.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eldridge Recasner	33	33	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	0	14	20.1	18.0	2.06	15.0	15.4	-0.43
Christian Laettner	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	0	14	19.3	16.6	2.76	15.6	13.7	1.94
Alan Henderson	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	-1	16	18.6	19.2	-0.57	14.6	16.4	-1.85
Steven Smith	68	67	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	3	8	18.2	21.2	-2.97	15.3	14.9	0.40
Priest Lauderdale	10	10	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	4	6	13.2	19.5	-6.35	18.5	14.8	3.68
Tyrone Corbin	60	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	8	-2	18.2	20.2	-2.04	15.2	15.5	-0.34
Mookie Blaylock	69	68	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	11	-8	18.8	18.9	-0.09	15.3	15.1	0.25
Dikembe Mutombo	56	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	14	-14	19.0	18.4	0.53	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Henry James	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	17	-20	26.0	18.1	7.95	13.7	15.4	-1.67

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jordan	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-14	14	8.1	15.9	-7.77	17.3	18.9	-1.65
Doug West	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-13	12	16.6	13.6	2.98	18.4	19.3	-0.88
Dean Garrett	51	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-10	6	16.0	14.2	1.83	18.1	19.8	-1.70
Terry Porter	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-9	4	13.5	16.6	-3.13	18.9	18.7	0.25
Cherokee Parks	22	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-12	10	16.0	15.0	0.94	22.2	17.5	4.63
Tom Gugliotta	61	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-4	-6	15.1	15.6	-0.42	18.2	20.4	-2.25
Stephon Marbury	56	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	15.5	14.8	0.71	18.3	19.9	-1.65
Kevin Garnett	71	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-5	-4	15.1	16.2	-1.06	18.9	18.3	0.58
James Robinson	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-1	-12	14.9	15.5	-0.61	19.8	18.3	1.49
Sam Mitchell	39	40	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	1	-16	15.7	14.9	0.85	19.2	18.5	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 102, GSW 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
PHX 112, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
BOS 112, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%