NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	102		Excitement	3.1 [945]		MVP	Jason Smith (NOH): +9.3%
Golden State Warriors	87		Comeback	1.2 [495]		LVP	Nate Robinson (GSW): -8.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	7	86%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.00	0.07	13	85%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	15	65%	0.08	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	18	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	46%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Xavier Henry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	8	40%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Lance Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	60%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Mickell Gladness	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Benson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	21	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.03	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	29.6	14.8	23.3	2.7	27.6	122.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +29.7%

GSW -2.0%

NOH +7.2%

NOH +14.4%

NOH +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	GSW	NBA	NOH	GSW	NBA
this game	16.9	16.6	15.6	117.2	102.4	102.8
season	16.3	15.2		99.2	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.9	15.1	17.0	19.9	16.9
GSW	16.8	18.4	15.7	15.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	9	-3	16.8	17.3	-0.48	16.3	17.4	-1.14
Lance Thomas	46	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	0	15	17.9	15.9	2.02	16.8	16.3	0.50
Xavier Henry	40	38	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	6	3	17.6	16.3	1.26	16.9	16.3	0.69
Jason Smith	50	47	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	9	-3	16.2	17.9	-1.79	16.9	16.2	0.74
Marco Belinelli	59	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	3	9	16.3	18.2	-1.91	16.8	16.0	0.87
Greivis Vasquez	34	35	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	3	9	18.3	16.0	2.26	17.1	16.2	0.84
Jarrett Jack	56	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	9	-3	16.2	18.3	-2.13	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Carl Landry	62	60	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	12	-9	16.4	18.3	-1.97	15.8	18.4	-2.60
Chris Johnson	22	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	9	-3	18.8	16.3	2.54	17.5	16.2	1.31

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Tyler	24	24	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.15	7	-22	29	14.9	17.2	-2.30	16.9	16.9	-0.06
Keith Benson	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	8.5	16.8	-8.26	24.0	16.8	7.16
Charles Jenkins	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-14	13	14.4	17.7	-3.26	17.5	16.6	0.90
Mickell Gladness	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-10	5	13.6	16.9	-3.37	14.2	17.2	-2.94
Klay Thompson	46	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-12	9	17.2	15.8	1.38	17.6	15.9	1.66
David Lee	70	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-10	5	17.0	14.5	2.47	17.6	13.5	4.09
Dorell Wright	54	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-9	3	16.3	17.1	-0.84	16.0	18.6	-2.56
Nate Robinson	41	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	-2	-11	17.9	15.3	2.63	15.4	18.3	-2.93
Richard Jefferson	44	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	0	-15	16.9	16.2	0.76	16.3	17.5	-1.13
Dominic McGuire	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	3	-21	16.9	16.1	0.79	17.5	16.1	1.40
Brandon Rush	57	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.04	-17	2	-19	16.8	16.1	0.74	17.3	16.2	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 112, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
ATL 80, MIN 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.5%
PHI 112, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%