NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	117		Excitement	7.3 [395]		MVP	Derrick White (BOS): +34.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	1.7 [627]		LVP	Patrick Beverley (PHI): -9.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.18	0.16	-0.00	12	79%	0.38	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.01
Al Horford	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	9	78%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.00	4	90%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jayson Tatum	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	23	56%	0.14	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	18	49%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Sam Hauser	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.12	0.01	10	73%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.00	5	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	15	57%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	13	53%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jaden Springer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.02	5	90%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.04	0.02	12	59%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.08	0.03	16	56%	0.02	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	25.3	15.4	24.5	3.5	32.5	129.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.2%

PHI -3.6%

BOS +16.3%

BOS +1.5%

PHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	15.8	14.5	124.5	115.1	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		121.4	115.6
opponent	14.5	14.7		112.6	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	15.3	15.0	17.0	15.0
PHI	15.2	15.3	18.5	14.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	67	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.21	16	-6	22	15.0	15.0	0.03	16.7	13.4	3.33
Al Horford	53	54	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-4	18	15.1	15.0	0.12	17.1	14.0	3.12
Sam Hauser	66	66	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	6	-2	15.3	14.3	1.05	16.7	13.6	3.09
Derrick White	73	72	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	7	-4	15.2	14.2	1.01	15.4	17.1	-1.75
Payton Pritchard	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	3	4	14.5	15.5	-1.02	14.7	16.9	-2.20
Jayson Tatum	76	75	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	8	-6	15.4	13.4	2.02	15.8	15.9	-0.13
Dalano Banton	16	16	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	2	6	13.6	15.3	-1.76	16.3	15.7	0.64
Svi Mykhailiuk	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	10	-10	14.4	15.3	-0.95	13.8	16.8	-2.97
Luke Kornet	41	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	14	-18	15.0	15.1	-0.12	14.3	16.8	-2.57

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Springer	39	40	0.40	-0.90	1.29	-0.19	20	-30	50	14.7	16.6	-1.84	15.9	14.4	1.53
Paul Reed	29	30	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.13	15	-25	40	13.7	16.7	-3.04	15.7	14.7	1.00
Tyrese Maxey	75	75	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-19	28	15.7	16.2	-0.47	15.7	12.3	3.46
Furkan Korkmaz	6	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-2	-6	15.0	15.8	-0.84	9.6	15.5	-5.89
Danuel House Jr.	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-2	-6	13.3	16.0	-2.70	9.6	15.5	-5.89
Tobias Harris	73	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-9	8	16.3	14.0	2.21	15.2	14.3	0.95
De'Anthony Melton	65	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	16.3	14.7	1.58	15.3	14.5	0.77
Marcus Morris Sr.	17	18	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	6	-22	14.5	16.1	-1.54	12.7	15.6	-2.84
Patrick Beverley	21	20	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	7	-24	15.5	15.9	-0.34	12.4	15.7	-3.27
Robert Covington	69	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	0	-10	16.2	14.5	1.79	15.7	12.7	2.99
Joel Embiid	64	64	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.08	-25	15	-40	16.7	13.7	3.04	14.7	15.7	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.28,0.1,0.08,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0	92.0%
PHI 112, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.1,0.02,0.06,0.02,0	92.0%
WAS 80, SEA 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.09,0.04,0	91.8%