NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	80		Excitement	6.8 [445]		MVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): +8.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	74		Comeback	2.0 [283]		LVP	Kwame Brown (WAS): -17.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.08,0.13,0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	22	55%	0.18	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	12	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	22%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.03	18	50%	0.00	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	3	30%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	10	42%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	79%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	10	75%	0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	18	42%	0.01	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	9	40%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	15	41%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	63.3	1.8	28.7	17.0	24.1	1.8	33.0	169.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +20.6%

WAS +1.9%

WAS +32.1%

SEA -5.0%

WAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	NBA	WAS	SEA	NBA
this game	19.2	16.2	15.5	98.8	90.2	101.6
season	16.5	16.5		100.9	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.0	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.0	18.5	20.7	21.8	19.2
SEA	18.3	15.8	16.4	14.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	53	53	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.16	16	-10	26	19.9	17.7	2.17	16.7	15.3	1.40
Tyronn Lue	75	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	19.4	16.5	2.89	16.9	9.0	7.85
Jerry Stackhouse	72	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-2	10	18.3	26.4	-8.18	15.4	22.6	-7.16
Michael Jordan	75	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	1	4	19.2	18.5	0.73	15.9	18.6	-2.71
Jahidi White	39	39	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	-4	14	19.5	18.9	0.66	16.9	15.5	1.46
Bobby Simmons	26	28	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	8	-10	20.3	18.6	1.67	16.3	16.1	0.21
Kwame Brown	41	43	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	10	-14	19.1	19.3	-0.20	16.3	16.0	0.30
Brendan Haywood	7	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	8	-10	18.3	19.3	-0.97	23.2	15.4	7.83
Bryon Russell	17	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	14	-22	17.6	19.6	-2.01	10.5	17.7	-7.13

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	18	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-10	14	18.2	15.6	2.54	21.2	18.6	2.56
Elden Campbell	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-5	4	17.5	16.0	1.50	24.8	18.5	6.31
Reggie Evans	48	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	1	-8	15.6	17.0	-1.40	17.7	21.3	-3.61
Brent Barry	54	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.31	3	-9	12	15.4	17.8	-2.43	19.6	18.3	1.29
Kevin Ollie	56	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-10	14	15.7	17.3	-1.59	18.9	19.7	-0.74
Predrag Drobnjak	23	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	6	-18	18.6	15.3	3.31	17.2	20.0	-2.85
Vladimir Radmanovic	59	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-12	18	15.3	18.6	-3.31	20.0	17.2	2.85
Ray Allen	74	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.32	-9	3	-12	16.1	16.7	-0.63	18.8	23.5	-4.67
Rashard Lewis	68	65	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.17	-18	12	-30	17.0	12.1	4.87	19.2	19.1	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.19,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.15,0,0	92.4%
DAL 110, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0	92.3%
UTA 92, VAN 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.16,0.01,0,0	92.1%