NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	111		Excitement	7.6 [348]		MVP	Jalen Williams (OKC): +33.2%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	3.5 [240]		LVP	Bradley Beal (PHX): -29.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Williams	0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.22	0.11	0.00	16	77%	0.37	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.20	0.11	0.05	22	67%	0.29	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.02
Chet Holmgren	0.23	0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.11	0.02	10	72%	0.23	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Isaiah Joe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Josh Giddey	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	12	42%	-0.06	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	2	150%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.07	0.03	18	60%	0.13	3	-0.14	11	100%	0.06
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.00	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	8	39%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.2,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	17	37%	-0.14	5	-0.16	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	27.3	15.6	24.5	2.3	36.5	135.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +65.5%

PHX -0.8%

PHX -41.9%

OKC +26.6%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	13.9	15.9	14.5	115.6	102.1	113.9
season	13.9	14.6		117.1	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.5	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.3	14.0	14.2	15.3	13.9
PHX	17.0	13.7	17.1	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chet Holmgren	65	65	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.04	27	-15	42	13.7	14.4	-0.70	17.0	13.7	3.33
Jalen Williams	75	77	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.05	23	-11	34	13.8	14.4	-0.62	16.5	13.4	3.07
Josh Giddey	64	66	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.17	17	-5	22	14.0	13.8	0.25	15.9	15.9	0.02
Luguentz Dort	66	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	4	4	13.6	14.8	-1.19	15.9	15.8	0.13
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	74	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	5	2	13.6	15.3	-1.72	16.0	15.5	0.54
Cason Wallace	33	34	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	10	-8	14.8	13.5	1.37	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Aaron Wiggins	25	26	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.11	9	3	6	15.0	13.6	1.42	14.7	16.3	-1.58
Ousmane Dieng	13	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	16	-20	14.8	13.8	0.95	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Davis Bertans	6	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	17	-22	12.2	14.1	-1.90	13.5	16.0	-2.54
Jaylin Williams	27	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	23	-34	14.1	13.9	0.23	13.2	17.0	-3.76
Isaiah Joe	32	30	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	25	-38	14.3	13.7	0.59	16.1	15.8	0.26

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yuta Watanabe	36	32	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.01	10	-22	32	14.2	16.9	-2.69	16.0	12.9	3.03
Drew Eubanks	38	37	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-16	20	17.4	14.9	2.52	14.7	13.5	1.27
Chimezie Metu	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	5.0	16.0	-11.00	24.0	13.8	10.16
Jordan Goodwin	57	58	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-15	18	15.9	15.8	0.06	14.6	13.0	1.53
Keita Bates-Diop	54	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-8	4	14.7	17.3	-2.58	14.6	13.1	1.44
Josh Okogie	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-4	-4	17.3	14.7	2.58	12.6	15.0	-2.39
Kevin Durant	73	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	1	-14	16.5	13.9	2.67	13.7	14.7	-0.96
Bradley Beal	63	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	6	-24	15.6	16.4	-0.85	14.0	13.9	0.05
Jusuf Nurkic	54	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	3	-18	15.4	16.5	-1.08	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Grayson Allen	66	67	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.22	-19	7	-26	16.0	15.6	0.40	12.9	16.5	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.69,0.77,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	92.6%
HOU 112, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.06,0.16,0	92.5%
IND 106, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.07,0.09,0.01,0	92.1%