NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	7.1 [221]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +20.9%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	3.7 [275]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -38.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	6	86%	0.25	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	9	80%	0.18	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Jalen Rose	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	11	76%	0.14	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	13	56%	0.03	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	4	10%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	10	70%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	14	60%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	24	54%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.26,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.17	-0.24	-0.02	17	37%	-0.25	4	-0.14	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.7	25.2	15.4	24.4	2.4	36.6	126.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +65.4%

IND +11.5%

WAS -10.0%

WAS -18.2%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.8	116.5	103.3	99.6
season	16.4	15.5		105.4	98.8
opponent	15.9	16.0		101.3	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	19.4	15.1	15.6	13.2	15.7
WAS	14.9	15.5	16.4	16.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	42	43	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-3	17	15.0	16.3	-1.37	16.7	14.9	1.85
Reggie Miller	64	64	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.09	17	-6	23	15.2	16.9	-1.72	15.3	16.7	-1.42
Travis Best	45	47	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	0	11	13.9	17.5	-3.66	15.7	15.8	-0.08
Jalen Rose	61	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	2	7	15.1	16.9	-1.72	15.0	17.3	-2.26
Antonio Davis	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	5	1	15.9	15.4	0.53	15.9	15.6	0.26
Austin Croshere	23	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	15.6	15.7	-0.14	17.8	15.0	2.80
Dale Davis	46	46	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.12	5	6	-1	15.8	15.7	0.09	15.0	16.5	-1.43
Mark Jackson	46	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	11	-11	17.5	13.9	3.66	15.8	15.7	0.08
Sam Perkins	37	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	14	-17	16.2	15.4	0.80	15.4	16.0	-0.67
Chris Mullin	34	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	15	-19	17.8	14.5	3.27	16.5	15.3	1.12

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	27	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-12	13	16.5	15.4	1.07	15.5	15.8	-0.25
Ben Wallace	17	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-8	5	16.1	15.7	0.44	18.1	15.1	2.99
Terry Davis	57	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-10	9	16.7	14.2	2.47	16.2	14.9	1.32
Chris Whitney	20	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.15	-12	1	-13	15.2	15.9	-0.72	15.4	15.8	-0.34
Tracy Murray	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-6	1	14.3	16.7	-2.44	13.6	17.1	-3.48
Rod Strickland	72	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.32	1	-12	13	15.9	15.2	0.72	15.8	15.4	0.34
Otis Thorpe	85	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-5	-1	16.2	11.0	5.15	15.9	13.3	2.55
Mitch Richmond	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	2	-15	15.5	16.4	-0.88	15.7	15.7	0.06
Juwan Howard	79	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.10	-17	6	-23	15.2	19.2	-3.95	15.6	16.3	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.07,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 104, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.19,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.7%
MIA 105, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	92.4%
LAL 99, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.01,0	92.3%