NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	7.4 [334]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +13.1%
San Antonio Spurs	92		Comeback	4.2 [191]		LVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): -16.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	12	68%	0.26	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Eddie Jones	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.01	17	57%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Byron Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Travis Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	16	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.18,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	-0.04	18	43%	-0.04	4	-0.12	13	23%	-0.12

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.03	18	61%	0.20	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.03	8	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	6	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	11	21%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Elliott	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	16	55%	-0.01	5	-0.16	10	70%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	24.4	18.3	24.7	2.6	38.2	139.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.6%

SAS -1.2%

LAL +14.8%

LAL +9.0%

SAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	16.3	15.6	106.5	96.8	104.4
season	15.3	16.8		105.8	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.7		109.4	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.3	15.0	13.7	13.6	14.4
SAS	17.3	14.4	16.3	17.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	44	46	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.24	21	-14	35	13.0	15.6	-2.53	16.6	15.9	0.67
Nick Van Exel	82	84	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-8	23	14.2	15.6	-1.45	17.2	9.3	7.91
Kobe Bryant	60	62	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.27	13	-6	19	13.3	16.2	-2.83	16.6	15.7	0.87
Shaquille O'Neal	81	81	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-4	15	14.3	14.6	-0.26	16.1	17.4	-1.37
Eddie Jones	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.45	-5	12	-17	14.5	13.9	0.65	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Byron Scott	32	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	11	-15	15.9	13.5	2.37	15.4	16.7	-1.25
Elden Campbell	58	61	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.13	1	6	-5	14.4	14.2	0.20	17.2	14.6	2.61
Derek Fisher	11	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	15	-23	15.6	14.2	1.45	9.3	17.2	-7.91
Travis Knight	29	31	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.00	-9	16	-25	16.3	13.5	2.79	15.5	16.6	-1.06

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamie Feick	16	14	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.05	3	-10	13	15.1	16.5	-1.37	13.4	14.5	-1.17
Monty Williams	26	27	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-11	15	15.2	16.7	-1.42	15.1	14.1	1.01
Carl Herrera	25	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-7	7	14.8	16.8	-1.99	13.7	14.6	-0.88
Cory Alexander	19	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-4	1	13.3	17.0	-3.68	13.5	14.6	-1.06
Vernon Maxwell	33	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	1	-9	15.8	16.5	-0.64	13.3	14.9	-1.60
Avery Johnson	75	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-3	-1	17.2	12.9	4.26	14.7	12.9	1.79
Vinny Del Negro	63	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-8	9	16.3	16.2	0.11	14.7	13.7	1.02
Dominique Wilkins	66	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	-1	-5	16.6	15.6	0.97	14.5	13.9	0.65
Greg Anderson	81	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	3	-13	16.4	15.4	0.98	14.5	13.2	1.36
Sean Elliott	73	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	5	-17	16.9	14.3	2.59	14.1	15.0	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 87, ATL 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.34,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,0	92.9%
NOP 104, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.19,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.4%
IND 106, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.07,0.09,0.01,0	92.3%