NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	7.3 [343]		MVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): +19.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	2.6 [245]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -15.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.06	-0.00	8	89%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.12	0.02	15	71%	0.32	5	-0.18	5	100%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	15	56%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	6	69%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Yao Ming	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.10	0.01	16	66%	0.09	3	-0.15	9	100%	0.04
Kelvin Cato	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	7	35%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.07	0.02	24	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.08	0.01	13	76%	0.15	4	-0.18	7	71%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	15	37%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	32.3	15.8	25.2	2.5	38.9	142.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.5%

HOU +9.3%

MIN -0.6%

MIN -7.3%

HOU +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	13.9	15.7	121.7	116.0	100.5
season	16.5	15.6		98.8	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		98.4	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.1	17.5	16.7	16.9	17.1
MIN	12.4	13.8	16.0	13.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	85	87	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-5	13	17.0	17.4	-0.41	14.1	12.3	1.79
Yao Ming	62	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-10	23	17.0	17.1	-0.12	13.2	15.7	-2.52
Steve Francis	86	88	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-4	11	16.8	21.2	-4.40	13.6	18.3	-4.69
Jim Jackson	80	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	-2	7	17.0	17.6	-0.61	13.6	16.5	-2.94
Clar. Weatherspoon	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	9	-15	17.4	16.9	0.50	14.7	13.4	1.29
Kelvin Cato	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.09	4	-1	5	16.0	17.8	-1.80	13.1	14.5	-1.37
Maurice Taylor	46	45	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	8	-13	18.1	16.0	2.11	15.3	12.7	2.62
Mark Jackson	12	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	5	-7	17.6	17.0	0.61	16.5	13.6	2.94
Adrian Griffin	14	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.17	-9	12	-21	17.8	16.9	0.86	14.2	13.9	0.31

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	37	36	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-10	17	15.4	13.0	2.41	18.2	16.3	1.83
Michael Olowokandi	43	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-4	5	13.4	14.4	-1.02	16.8	17.2	-0.41
Oliver Miller	1	0	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	0	-3	0.0	14.1	-14.10	0.0	17.1	-17.05
Gary Trent	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-1	-1	14.8	13.8	1.02	17.4	17.0	0.39
Ervin Johnson	12	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	2	-7	9.4	14.6	-5.19	13.1	17.5	-4.37
Mark Madsen	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-7	11	16.3	12.6	3.73	17.9	16.6	1.30
Troy Hudson	40	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-7	11	15.7	12.6	3.14	18.4	16.1	2.35
Trenton Hassell	50	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	3	-9	13.3	14.7	-1.38	15.9	18.5	-2.62
Latrell Sprewell	76	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	2	-7	13.5	16.0	-2.54	16.5	19.5	-3.04
Kevin Garnett	82	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	3	-9	13.8	14.7	-0.92	17.3	15.5	1.83
Sam Cassell	79	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	13.3	17.3	-3.95	17.1	17.0	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.06,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.02,0	92.7%
ORL 103, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0	92.5%
CLE 100, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.04,0	92.2%