NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	93		Excitement	7.4 [322]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +23.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	3.0 [472]		LVP	Andre Miller (LAC): -29.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	8	61%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Clark	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Damon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	21	42%	-0.01	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	21	42%	-0.07	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.06
Doug Christie	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	15	39%	-0.04	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.03
Vlade Divac	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	9	32%	-0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	0.00	17	73%	0.32	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.03	15	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	11%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	14	29%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	6	43%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.18,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29	-0.29	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	10	46%	-0.04	6	-0.25	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	27.2	15.6	23.3	2.4	37.7	129.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -9.4%

SAC +0.8%

SAC +33.4%

SAC +23.0%

SAC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	15.5	95.9	95.7	101.6
season	14.0	15.4		104.4	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.3	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	16.8	15.8	15.7	15.6
LAC	16.4	15.1	11.3	16.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	90	86	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-5	14	15.6	16.6	-1.00	14.9	11.6	3.34
Hedo Turkoglu	45	43	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	1	2	17.1	14.3	2.79	15.1	14.3	0.77
Damon Jones	21	20	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-7	18	15.3	15.7	-0.45	18.3	13.7	4.64
Chris Webber	80	79	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-2	8	14.9	19.2	-4.36	14.8	13.8	1.02
Vlade Divac	75	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	1	2	15.9	14.7	1.18	13.8	16.9	-3.04
Keon Clark	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	7	-10	16.7	14.9	1.76	15.8	13.9	1.96
Peja Stojakovic	58	57	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	5	-6	14.4	17.4	-2.96	14.1	15.5	-1.33
Bobby Jackson	77	74	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	12	-20	15.8	14.8	0.99	13.5	19.1	-5.53

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremaine Fowlkes	13	13	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.10	11	-15	26	16.5	14.4	2.10	14.6	15.8	-1.18
Wang Zhi-zhi	23	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-4	4	17.2	13.8	3.35	14.1	16.1	-1.94
Eric Piatkowski	56	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	2	-8	13.6	16.3	-2.68	15.1	16.5	-1.42
Andre Miller	64	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-1	-2	13.6	17.0	-3.36	15.6	15.7	-0.11
Elton Brand	78	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-1	-2	14.1	17.3	-3.19	16.0	13.4	2.58
Marko Jaric	37	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-4	4	16.3	13.6	2.68	16.5	15.1	1.42
Keyon Dooling	33	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	0	-4	17.0	13.3	3.68	15.5	15.7	-0.25
Michael Olowokandi	85	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	14.4	16.9	-2.43	15.7	15.4	0.29
Corey Maggette	76	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.20	-12	8	-20	14.2	16.7	-2.51	15.9	14.4	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.06,0.16,0	92.7%
CLE 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	92.4%
UTA 106, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.07,0,0,0,0	92.3%