NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	108		Excitement	7.1 [424]		MVP	Kevin Knox II (DET): +32.4%
Chicago Bulls	119		Comeback	2.7 [727]		LVP	Ausar Thompson (DET): -13.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Knox II	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.20	0.12	0.00	8	112%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.01	7	70%	0.07	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
James Wiseman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Marvin Bagley III	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	57%	0.05	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Cade Cunningham	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	15	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ausar Thompson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	36%	-0.03	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.21	0.10	0.00	19	67%	0.31	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	7	81%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	14	56%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	8	61%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	17	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	14	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	2	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	26.6	15.3	23.5	2.4	35.4	132.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.6%

CHI +3.3%

DET -11.8%

CHI +34.1%

DET -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.7	14.5	110.2	124.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.5		108.4	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.3		115.1	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.5	17.1	15.4	14.1	14.9
CHI	14.7	14.2	15.9	14.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Ivey	27	24	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.09	9	-20	29	13.2	15.6	-2.43	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Alec Burks	44	40	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-17	23	13.5	16.2	-2.71	15.1	14.5	0.62
James Wiseman	31	30	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-16	21	13.3	15.7	-2.47	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Marcus Sasser	44	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-12	13	13.4	16.2	-2.75	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Kevin Knox II	51	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	13.9	16.1	-2.18	14.9	14.6	0.35
Marvin Bagley III	46	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	16.1	13.9	2.19	14.7	14.8	-0.04
Isaiah Stewart	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	15.7	13.7	2.01	14.7	14.8	-0.08
Killian Hayes	47	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	1	-13	16.2	13.8	2.39	14.5	15.0	-0.42
Ausar Thompson	62	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.04	-19	8	-27	16.1	13.0	3.04	14.7	14.8	-0.07
Cade Cunningham	75	75	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.15	-24	13	-37	15.7	12.3	3.40	14.9	14.1	0.82

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	54	57	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-8	27	13.9	15.8	-1.94	15.0	14.9	0.04
Torrey Craig	63	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-1	13	14.5	15.1	-0.58	15.5	14.0	1.46
DeMar DeRozan	69	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-1	13	15.8	12.0	3.81	15.8	12.9	2.83
Coby White	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	7	-3	14.7	14.8	-0.06	15.4	14.1	1.23
Nikola Vucevic	65	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	5	1	14.7	14.7	-0.00	15.4	14.0	1.46
Andre Drummond	31	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	6	-1	14.7	14.7	0.00	14.0	15.4	-1.46
Zach LaVine	70	71	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	10	-9	14.7	14.8	-0.15	14.4	16.3	-1.91
Patrick Williams	40	42	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	15	-19	14.6	14.8	-0.24	13.2	16.2	-2.99
Jevon Carter	24	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	11	-11	14.5	14.8	-0.32	14.6	15.1	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 88, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.0%
SAS 108, SEA 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,0.98,1	92.8%
VAN 102, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,1,1,1	92.8%